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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          13    2   15     Gk Owen Rooney            12    1   13
Sw Rhys Porter            16   -1   15     Df Luke Sinclair           8    2   10
Df Ryan Lasserre          16   -1   15     Df Bryan Price             3    2    5
Df Rayan Blanc            12    0   12     Df Michael Schmidt         3    2    5
Df Jeff Hughes            10    1   11     Mf Ian Hanny               7   -1    6
Mf James Gallaher         15   -1   14     Mf Evan Jones              7    2    9
Mf Wes Lambert            10    1   11     Mf David Kirk              3    2    5
Mf Martín Paz              9    2   11     Mf Marty Nicholls          9   -1    8
Fw Ellis Boddington       14   -1   13     Mf Ernest Dohm             6   -1    5
Fw Tom Duckworth          16   -1   15     Fw Vladimir Popov          7    2    9
Fw Diego Testa            10    2   12     Fw Calum Kelly             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 38 36 40        ROSTER TOTALS      13  0 20 33 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  1  2  2  2    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 47 36 40         T O T A L S       15  1 22 35 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.67 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.81 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.3 (no red card)

Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.25 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.18 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.48 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.14 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.57 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.26 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.94 (no red card)

Fw Diego Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.8 (no red card)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 9
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 12.92 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 39.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 73.33 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 97.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 13.28 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 9.85 (no second yellow)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 60.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 75.65 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 62.05 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 95.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 43.38 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 11.58 (no red card)

Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 29.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 2.5 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Ernest Dohm new match skill level =  3
      Ernest Dohm new match total level =  2

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 62.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 35.82 (no red card)

Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 86.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 48.54 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 9
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 4.62%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 7.29 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 31.35 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 3.59 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Ryan Lasserre is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Rayan Blanc: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 61.54 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 67.39 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 62.59 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 48.84 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 8.26 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Martín Paz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Martín Paz new match skill level =  5
      Martín Paz new match total level =  7
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 69.86 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 27.79 (no injury) 
Fw Diego Testa: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 75.72 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 9
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 98.76 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 60.22 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 52.85 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.29 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 80.21 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 75.4 (no injury) 
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.09 (no injury) 
Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.52 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 20.55 (no injury) 
Fw Calum Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.19 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 9; (9 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ryan Lasserre SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 75 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 67 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marty Nicholls SL 9
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 13

     intRndPk = 27
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 27 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                15  15  47  32  40
  Chippenham Town FC       15   0  22  32  19

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 18 (40 - 22); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 10 ((47 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 45.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Df Rayan Blanc
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 34.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Df Jeff Hughes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 2.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 16.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
27: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chippenham Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 8.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       15   0  22  32  19
  AFC Fylde                15  15  47  32  40

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 47)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
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