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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          15    2   17     Gk Ryan Caron              8    1    9
Sw Benjamin White         14    2   16     Sw Danny Butcher           9    2   11
Df Matheo Seguin          14    1   15     Df Jared Lampton          13    2   15
Df Louis Hall             12    0   12     Df Evan Burke              7    2    9
Df Nathan Milner          10    1   11     Mf Rodrigo Fernández      13    2   15
Df Jeff Hughes             9    2   11     Mf Jay Campbell            7    2    9
Df Vilgot Falk             8    2   10     Fw Leo O'Donnell          13    2   15
Mf Angel Vazquez          16    1   17     Fw Tyler MacDonald        13    2   15
Mf Euan Barclay           16    2   18     Fw Aidan Anderson         12    2   14
Fw William Peverell       16    2   18     Fw Raphaël Soulie         10    2   12
Fw Max Daly               11    0   11     Fw Kai Roberts             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 59 35 29        ROSTER TOTALS       9 11 24 24 66    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 59 35 38         T O T A L S        9 11 24 24 66    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.95 (no red card)

Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.83 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.38 (no red card)

Df Louis Hall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.53 (no red card)

Df Nathan Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.66 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.33 (no red card)

Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.94 (no red card)

Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.38 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.42 (no red card)

Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.75 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.19 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.94 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.16 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.12 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.89 (no red card)

Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.64 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.02 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.16 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.26 (no red card)

Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.46 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 67.68 (no injury) 
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.7 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.83 (no injury) 
Df Louis Hall: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.68 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Milner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.21 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.28 (no injury) 
Df Vilgot Falk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.39 (no injury) 
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.91 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.21 (no injury) 
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 93.47 (no injury) 
Sw Danny Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.57 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.46 (no injury) 
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.2 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.0 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.78 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.09 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.35 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.21 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angel Vazquez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 8

     intRndPk = 43
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jared Lampton SL 13
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 15

     intRndPk = 41
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                17  16  59  35  38
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9  11  24  24  66

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 14 (38 - 24); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 6 ((35 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((59 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 79.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 88.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw William Peverell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 14.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Max Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9  11  24  24  66
  AFC Fylde                17  16  59  35  38

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 7 (66 - 59); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 89.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 22.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1
 
Match Notes
AFC Fylde host Swindon Supermarine in Division 3. Two clubs, one pitch, the inevitable passage of time. I shall be here for all of it.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/12 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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