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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Diego Forlán           12    2   14     Gk Gianluca De Luca       11    2   13
Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21     Sw Sean Buckley           13    2   15
Df Leo Bergström          13    2   15     Df Joshua Murphy          10    2   12
Df Algenon Webster        13    2   15     Df Niklas Schneider       10    2   12
Df Earl Kelly             12    2   14     Mf Marco Rizzo            13    1   14
Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15     Mf Jeff Shilton            7    2    9
Mf Malte Axelsson         10    2   12     Fw Sean Sturridge         14    2   16
Mf Kunio Yamamoto          8    2   10     Fw Carlton Lloyd          14    2   16
Fw Liam Thwaite           13    2   15     Fw Jamie Craig            10    2   12
Fw Paul Millot            13    2   15     Fw Jed Monkhouse          13    2   15
Fw Joe Evans              11    2   13     Fw Gonzalo Soler           7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  0 65 37 43        ROSTER TOTALS      13 15 24 23 68    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  5  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 65 42 47         T O T A L S       13 15 24 23 68    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 36.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 60.87 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 68.91 (no red card)

Df Algenon Webster: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.03 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.87 (no second yellow)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.46 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 55.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.8 (no red card)

Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.56 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.36 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.94 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.66 (no red card)

Fw Joe Evans: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.89 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.4 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.49 (no red card)

Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.99 (no second yellow)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.85 (no red card)

Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.13 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.45 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.79 (no red card)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.35 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.39 (no red card)

Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.16 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.84 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 30.74 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.76 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.46 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Webster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 4.49 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.29 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.92 (no injury) 
Mf Malte Axelsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.26 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.19 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.54 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 29.64 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Evans: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 51.96 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 10.3 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 45.36 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.46 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 86.68 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.97 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.55 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.75 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Craig: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.55 (no injury) 
Fw Jed Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 41.16 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 11

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Sean Sturridge SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         16   0  65  42  47
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  24  23  68

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 23 (47 - 24); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((42 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 68) / 5;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 33

1: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 9.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 82.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Malte Axelsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 18.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 60.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 26.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 51.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Joe Evans
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Paul Millot
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  24  23  68
  Tonbridge Angels         16   0  65  42  47

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (68 - 65) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 47) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Craig
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Jed Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 4  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
A top of the table clash. Bedford just two points behind us. Good luck Simon.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/21 - 9:29 PM
Our best performance so far this season.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/27 - 9:57 PM
 
 
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