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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             14    2   16     Gk Mark Daugherty         13    2   15
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15     Sw Declan Wilson          16    0   16
Df Thomas McIntyre        12    2   14     Df Jannick Schmitz        14    0   14
Df Luca Lorimar           10    1   11     Df Barry Fortune-West     10    2   12
Df Julian Kahn            10    1   11     Df Atle Svendsen           8    2   10
Mf William Carney         13    2   15     Mf Donald Brown            9    2   11
Mf Owen Roberts           12    2   14     Mf Jeff Hunter             8    2   10
Mf Mons Nygård            12    2   14     Fw Dennis Honeybun        13    2   15
Mf Liam Murphy            16    1   17     Fw Kai Burke              11    2   13
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Fw Ezequiel  Segura        8    2   10
Fw Agustin Martínez       11    2   13     Fw André Souza             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 51 60 28        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 36 21 47    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 60 60 28         T O T A L S       15 16 36 21 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.35 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.53 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.96 (no red card)

Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.35 (no red card)

Df Julian Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.09 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.25 (no red card)

Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.12 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.43 (no red card)

Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.25 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.55 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.98 (no second yellow)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.55 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.56 (no red card)

Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.0 (no red card)

Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.34 (no red card)

Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.23 (no red card)

Mf Donald Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.89 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.65 (no red card)

Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card)

Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.26 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 55.77 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.84 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.86 (no injury) 
Df Luca Lorimar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.25 (no injury) 
Df Julian Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.62 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.82 (no injury) 
Mf Owen Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.85 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.12 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Mons Nygård is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Mons Nygård new match skill level =  6
      Mons Nygård new match total level =  8
Mf Liam Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.03 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.66 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.31 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mark Daugherty: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.63 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.81 (no injury) 
Df Jannick Schmitz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no injury) 
Df Barry Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
Df Atle Svendsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.79 (no injury) 
Mf Donald Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.43 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.9 (no injury) 
Fw Dennis Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.98 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.71 (no injury) 
Fw Ezequiel  Segura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.3 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Liam Murphy SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mark Daugherty SL 13

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jannick Schmitz SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 14

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  60  54  28
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  16  36  21  47

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 36)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((54 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 3 ((60 - 47) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Julian Kahn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 5.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 26.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Liam Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Owen Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  16  36  21  47
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  60  54  28

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 60)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 54) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((36 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Atle Svendsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jannick Schmitz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 24.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Barry Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 88.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 1
 
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