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Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

KENDAL TOWN FC                             HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gareth Green           16    2   18     Gk Florian De Vos         15    2   17
Sw Harry Stewart          16    2   18     Sw Fortunato  Torres      13    2   15
Df Lucas Hill             14    2   16     Df Ben Lawrence           11    2   13
Df Hernan Torres          10    2   12     Df Martim Alves           10    2   12
Mf Roger Flinders         14    2   16     Df Andreas Solheim        10    0   10
Mf Pedro Gomes            10    2   12     Df Trevor Harewood         7    2    9
Fw Jermaine Rogers        10    2   12     Df Lennard Richter         6    2    8
Fw Aaron Quinn            10    2   12     Mf Luis Schmidt           10    0   10
Fw Ryan McDonald           9    1   10     Mf Michael Möller          8    2   10
Fw Finn Maier              8    2   10     Fw Cooper Smith           11    2   13
Fw Philipp Wagner          8    2   10     Fw William Torres          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 18 28 28 54        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 52 20 23    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 18 28 28 63         T O T A L S       17 15 52 20 23    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gareth Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.45 (no red card)

Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.9 (no red card)

Df Lucas Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.19 (no red card)

Df Hernan Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.21 (no red card)

Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.12 (no red card)

Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.77 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.05 (no red card)

Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.14 (no red card)

Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.92 (no red card)

Fw Finn Maier: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.76 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.69 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.65 (no red card)

Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.03 (no red card)

Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.9 (no red card)

Df Martim Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.78 (no red card)

Df Andreas Solheim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.0 (no red card)

Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.49 (no red card)

Df Lennard Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.98 (no red card)

Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.56 (no red card)

Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.59 (no red card)

Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.78 (no red card)

Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.26 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Gareth Green: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.25 (no injury) 
Sw Harry Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.15 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.39 (no injury) 
Df Hernan Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.45 (no injury) 
Mf Roger Flinders: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.03 (no injury) 
Mf Pedro Gomes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.15 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.89 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.76 (no injury) 
Fw Finn Maier: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.45 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Wagner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.73 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Philipp Wagner is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Philipp Wagner new match skill level =  4
      Philipp Wagner new match total level =  6

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 32.81 (no injury) 
Sw Fortunato  Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.91 (no injury) 
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.23 (no injury) 
Df Martim Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.02 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Martim Alves is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Martim Alves new match skill level =  5
      Martim Alves new match total level =  7
Df Andreas Solheim: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.68 (no injury) 
Df Lennard Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.03 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.39 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.84 (no injury) 
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.0 (no injury) 
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lucas Hill SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15

     intRndPk = 84
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Lawrence SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Gareth Green SL 16

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           18  18  28  28  59
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  47  20  23

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (59 - 47); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((28 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((28 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Lucas Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Hernan Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Pedro Gomes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Roger Flinders
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Finn Maier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Finn Maier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 96.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Philipp Wagner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Ryan McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Aaron Quinn
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    17  15  47  20  23
  Kendal Town FC           18  18  28  28  59

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 28)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
KENDAL TOWN FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
There once was a local Kendal beaver
Who came down with football fever.
With a sleight of his tooth
He did something uncouth
And struck Ian down with his cleaver.

John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/22 - 12:48 PM
(Actually, Ian, we need you to win this for relegation survival purposes, so please forgive the fact not a lot rhymes with beaver. But nothing rhymes with Kendal, so)
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/22 - 12:49 PM
Ugh! No justice here. Congratulations I-Man!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/22 - 10:21 PM
Well done John.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/22 - 10:21 PM
 
 
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