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Burton Albion FC
James White
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 9
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BURTON ALBION FC                           TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wim Cryuff             16    2   18     Gk Luca Werner            13    2   15
Sw Harrison Johnson       12    2   14     Sw Sean Carroll            8    2   10
Df Linus Sjögren          12    2   14     Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15
Df Valentin Peralta        7    2    9     Df Mathias Sørensen       12    2   14
Mf Wayne Hunt             11    2   13     Df Finn Fitzgerald        12    2   14
Mf Hyun Ki  Son            6    2    8     Df Earl Kelly             10    2   12
Fw Oliver Bauer           13    2   15     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    2   15
Fw Carsten Petersen       14    1   15     Mf Fernando Rocha         12    2   14
Fw Abe Chavez              8    2   10     Fw Michael Turner         13    2   15
Fw Noah Monkhouse          7    2    9     Fw Scott Marshall         11    2   13
Fw Erik Nygård             7    2    9     Fw Liam Thwaite           10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 23 21 58        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 55 29 40    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  3  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 23 22 66         T O T A L S       16 13 62 29 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.2 (no red card)

Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.14 (no red card)

Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.84 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.22 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.35 (no red card)

Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.98 (no second yellow)

Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.12 (no red card)

Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)

Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.78 (no red card)

Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.19 (no red card)

Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.5 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.06 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 24.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 35.35 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 90.54 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 56.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 33.31 (no red card)

Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 25.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.0 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 6.25 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 12.37 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 32.01 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 5.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.07 (no second yellow)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 27.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.09 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 16.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 40.82 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no injury) 
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.71 (no injury) 
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 86.58 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 90.55 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 77.08 (no injury) 
Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.59 (no injury) 
Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 21.25 (no injury) 
Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Chavez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 47.43 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.67 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.82 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 30.8 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.5 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.35 (no injury) 
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.5 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.12 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.18 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 77.99 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.15 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 66.9 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.02 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carsten Petersen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sean Callahan SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         18  14  23  22  66
  Tonbridge Angels         16  13  62  29  40

Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 4 (66 - 62); result rounded up
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 40) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         16  13  62  29  40
  Burton Albion FC         18  14  23  22  66

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 9 (40 - 23) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 22) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 66) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Liam Thwaite
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 36.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 88.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BURTON ALBION FC 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
Burton are going well in third place behind the big two. Need something special.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/28 - 2:18 PM
 
 
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