(H)
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Florian De Vos 16 2 18 Gk Leo Dury 15 2 17
Sw Fortunato Torres 14 2 16 Sw Nathan Khan 15 2 17
Df Ben Lawrence 12 -1 11 Df Nicolas Gonzalez 10 2 12
Df Trevor Harewood 11 2 13 Df Johan Kristensen 10 2 12
Df Aidan O'Neil 11 1 12 Mf Joseph Terry 10 2 12
Df Benjamin Newton 10 1 11 Mf Theo Ruby 9 2 11
Mf Michael Möller 11 2 13 Fw Freddie Rees 14 2 16
Mf Luis Schmidt 10 1 11 Fw Ruben Diez 16 0 16
Fw Cooper Smith 13 2 15 Fw Ollie O'Brien 11 2 13
Fw William Torres 11 2 13 Fw H?lder Silva 11 1 12
Fw Braulio Salas 14 2 16 Fw Archie Hill 8 2 10
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 16 47 24 44 ROSTER TOTALS 17 17 24 23 67
3 3 4 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
21 19 51 24 53 T O T A L S 20 17 24 23 67
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 10
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 37.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 93.6 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 23.95 (no red card)
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 28.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 19.11 (no red card)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 93.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 68.01 (no red card)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 11.99 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 76.26 (no second yellow)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 76.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 18.61 (no red card)
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 4.19 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 28.38 (no second yellow)
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 83.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 29.12 (no red card)
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 75.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 84.27 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 84.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 14.15 (no red card)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of booking = 19.5% | Random number = 89.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.25% | Random number = 22.27 (no red card)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.3 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 52.77 (no red card)
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.45 (no red card)
Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.42 (no red card)
Df Johan Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.7 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.35 (no second yellow)
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.77 (no red card)
Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.41 (no red card)
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 40.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.72 (no red card)
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.04 (no red card)
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 52.95 (no red card)
Fw H?lder Silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.24 (no red card)
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.93 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.15 (no second yellow)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 4.81 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 70.52 (no injury)
Df Ben Lawrence: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 63.04 (no injury)
Df Trevor Harewood: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 64.53 (no injury)
Df Aidan O'Neil: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 73.85 (no injury)
Df Benjamin Newton: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury)
Mf Michael Möller: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 35.2 (no injury)
Mf Luis Schmidt: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 55.17 (no injury)
Fw Cooper Smith: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 51.54 (no injury)
Fw Braulio Salas: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 41.82 (no injury)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 10
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 10.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 5.12%
Gk Leo Dury: Chance of injury = 5.12% | Random number = 56.52 (no injury)
Sw Nathan Khan: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 81.01 (no injury)
Df Nicolas Gonzalez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 30.07 (no injury)
Df Johan Kristensen: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 13.31 (no injury)
Mf Joseph Terry: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 53.1 (no injury)
Mf Theo Ruby: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 78.64 (no injury)
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury)
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 94.46 (no injury)
Fw Ollie O'Brien: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 29.57 (no injury)
Fw H?lder Silva: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 3.96 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
H?lder Silva is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
H?lder Silva new match skill level = 6
H?lder Silva new match total level = 7
Fw Archie Hill: Chance of injury = 10.25% | Random number = 18.33 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Braulio Salas SL 14
- Defending Gk: Leo Dury SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 10; (10 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
- Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 20 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 96 (pk blocked)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)
10: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 21 19 51 24 53
Shepshed Dynamo FC 20 17 24 23 62
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 29 (53 - 24); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((51 - 62) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 30
1: Attack for Mf Luis Schmidt
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 58.44 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 16.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 29.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.16 (Shot Saved by Gk)
24: Attack for Fw Cooper Smith
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
25: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
27: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
30: Attack for Fw Braulio Salas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 71.25 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Shepshed Dynamo FC 20 17 24 23 62
Harrogate Railway AFC 21 19 51 24 53
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 11 (62 - 51); result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 11
1: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.2 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw H?lder Silva
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Freddie Rees
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Ollie O'Brien
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0 - SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 2
Match Notes
Rich get richer…
Phil (AFC Fylde) 02/08 - 6:38 AM
We could not shut down the Alon shots as usual. Well done Alon!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/08 - 10:52 PM
Thought I was unlucky with the missed penalty but thereafter I had all the luck.
Alon (Shepshed Dynamo FC) 02/09 - 5:11 PM