(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Maximilian Isaksson 12 0 12 Gk Dylan Foster 11 0 11
Df Delling Andersen 9 0 9 Sw Jason Meyer 13 0 13
Df Theo Cole 7 0 7 Df Robin Ostrander 16 0 16
Df Mateo Hernández 7 0 7 Df Kenny White 9 1 10
Df Ellis Fisher 7 0 7 Mf Cameron Hill 8 1 9
Mf William Pedersen 9 0 9 Mf Harrison McBrayne 8 1 9
Mf Luca Cole 8 0 8 Fw Nils Schneider 13 0 13
Mf Conor Farrell 7 0 7 Fw William Johnson 13 0 13
Fw Tom Stevenson 15 0 15 Fw Kerecsen Deák 11 1 12
Fw Andrew Williamson 11 0 11 Mf Jamie Carroll 8 0 8
Fw Alf Abrahamsen 10 0 10 Mf Facundo Bruno 8 0 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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12 0 30 24 36 ROSTER TOTALS 11 13 26 34 38
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
12 0 30 24 45 T O T A L S 11 13 26 34 38
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.41 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.76 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.49 (no red card)
Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.07 (no red card)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.65 (no red card)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.41 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.08 (no red card)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.19 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.33 (no second yellow)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.52 (no red card)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.24 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.6 (no red card)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.79 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.28 (no red card)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.55 (no red card)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.87 (no red card)
Df Kenny White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.22 (no red card)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.76 (no red card)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.91 (no red card)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.36 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.13 (no red card)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.4 (no red card)
Mf Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.01 (no red card)
Mf Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.3 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.97 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no injury)
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.07 (no injury)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.47 (no injury)
Df Ellis Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.39 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.1 (no injury)
Mf Luca Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.03 (no injury)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.35 (no injury)
Fw Tom Stevenson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.47 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.28 (no injury)
Fw Alf Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.57 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dylan Foster: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 97.35 (no injury)
Sw Jason Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.99 (no injury)
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.28 (no injury)
Df Kenny White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.0 (no injury)
Mf Cameron Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.72 (no injury)
Mf Harrison McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.73 (no injury)
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.49 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.34 (no injury)
Fw Kerecsen Deák: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no injury)
Mf Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.78 (no injury)
Mf Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.27 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Tom Stevenson SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dylan Foster SL 11
intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Robin Ostrander SL 16
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 12
intRndPk = 26
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 26 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 30 24 45
Luton Town FC 11 13 26 34 38
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 19 (45 - 26); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 38) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 1.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 92.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Tom Stevenson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 94.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Alf Abrahamsen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 28.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 11 13 26 34 38
Forest Green Rovers FC 12 0 30 24 45
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 8 (38 - 30); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((34 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 45) / 3; rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 13
1: Attack for Mf Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 46.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 4.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jamie Carroll
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 78.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
4: Attack for Mf Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Harrison McBrayne
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
6: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 51.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Kerecsen Deák
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 67.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 3 - LUTON TOWN FC 4
Match Notes
LUT opens the league slate on the road here at New Lawn. This fixture has been very even overall, but it has been a long time since we won on the road.
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:54 PM
Best of luck, Mark!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 01/04 - 7:54 PM
at least we scored at last!!
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/15 - 10:51 PM
dreadful start to season
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 01/15 - 10:51 PM