(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC LUTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Maximilian Isaksson 8 2 10 Gk Hayden Barnes 14 2 16
Df Delling Andersen 7 0 7 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18
Df Mateo Hernández 5 0 5 Df Thomás Lebre 11 2 13
Df Theo Cole 5 1 6 Df Reis Golan 7 2 9
Df Kyle Harris 3 2 5 Mf Victor Shepard 11 1 12
Mf Taylor Gerrard 6 2 8 Mf Nathan Dean 7 2 9
Mf Devon Lennon 5 2 7 Mf David Perry 7 2 9
Mf Luke Terry 3 2 5 Fw Nathan Phillips 14 1 15
Mf Nick Weiss 3 2 5 Fw Facundo Bruno 15 -1 14
Fw Moritz Hofmann 6 0 6 Fw William Johnson 12 1 13
Fw Jordi Iglesias 6 2 8 Fw Philipp Hoffmann 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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10 0 23 25 14 ROSTER TOTALS 16 18 22 30 51
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 30 25 14 T O T A L S 16 18 22 30 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.77 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.21 (no red card)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.58 (no red card)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.26 (no red card)
Df Theo Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.55 (no red card)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.78 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.88 (no second yellow)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.42 (no red card)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.79 (no red card)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.76 (no red card)
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.72 (no red card)
Fw Jordi Iglesias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.31 (no red card)
******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.85 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.44 (no red card)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.97 (no red card)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.91 (no red card)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.43 (no red card)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.82 (no red card)
Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.31 (no red card)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.06 (no red card)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.86 (no red card)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.73 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Maximilian Isaksson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 20.26 (no injury)
Df Delling Andersen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.47 (no injury)
Df Mateo Hernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.51 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mateo Hernández loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Mateo Hernández new match skill level = 3
Mateo Hernández new match total level = 3
Df Theo Cole: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.01 (no injury)
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.97 (no injury)
Mf Taylor Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.46 (no injury)
Mf Devon Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.64 (no injury)
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.24 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Luke Terry loses 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Luke Terry new match skill level = 2
Luke Terry new match total level = 4
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.97 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.02 (no injury)
Fw Jordi Iglesias: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.19 (no injury)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.31 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.53 (no injury)
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.47 (no injury)
Df Reis Golan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.24 (no injury)
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.0 (no injury)
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.84 (no injury)
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.47 (no injury)
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.6 (no injury)
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.91 (no injury)
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.18 (no injury)
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Delling Andersen SL 7
- Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 14
intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15
- Defending Gk: Maximilian Isaksson SL 8
intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 28 24 14
Luton Town FC 16 18 22 30 51
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 22)
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 51) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 0
******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Luton Town FC 16 18 22 30 51
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 28 24 14
Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 23 (51 - 28); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((30 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((22 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 29
1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 66.65 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Df Reis Golan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Mf David Perry
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 80.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Nathan Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 2.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
11: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 75.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 96.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
14: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 63.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 52.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 50 (Shot Off Target)
20: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 90.92 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 98.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
23: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 99.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
24: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 66.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
25: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target)
26: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 52 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 63 (Shot Off Target)
28: Attack for Fw William Johnson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target)
29: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 10
Match Notes
You got this Mike. Enjoy the win
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/21 - 6:56 PM
... and Jesus wept
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/21 - 7:08 PM
Sorry about the margin here, Mark, I promise we were not trying to run it up. We rolled some crazy numbers here...10 of 13 shots on target were goals!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 06/22 - 6:39 PM