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Tuesday, July 1st, 2025 - 09:01:50 AM (gmt)
 
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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mason Butcher          11    1   12     Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18
Df Jeff Charlton          12    1   13     Df Diego Acosta           11    0   11
Df Marcelo Fernandez      10    0   10     Df Finlay Butcher          7    2    9
Df Chris Howard            7    2    9     Df Steven Williams         3    2    5
Mf Federico Gentile       12    1   13     Mf Simon Fischer          17    1   18
Mf Gast?n Franco          12    1   13     Mf Glen Banks             10    2   12
Mf Giles Walsh            14    1   15     Mf Kian Sansom             7    2    9
Mf Liam Dixon              7    2    9     Mf Haakon Ødegård          3    2    5
Fw Rhys McColl            12    1   13     Fw Noah Schäfer           10    2   12
Fw Santiago Rubio         11    2   13     Fw Harley Dowson           7    2    9
Fw Sveinur Hansen          7    2    9     Fw David Ball              7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12  0 32 50 35        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 25 44 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  5  4  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  5  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  0 37 54 40         T O T A L S       18  0 25 44 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.91 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.98 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.45 (no second yellow)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.15 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.4 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.5 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.32 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.94 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.99 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.45 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.34 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.26 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Sveinur Hansen new match skill level =  4
      Sveinur Hansen new match total level =  6

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.25 (no red card)

Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.09 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)

Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.64 (no red card)

Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.79 (no red card)

Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.6 (no red card)

Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.88 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.36 (no red card)

Fw David Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.32 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 88.5 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Jeff Charlton is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Jeff Charlton new match skill level =  6
      Jeff Charlton new match total level =  7
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.62 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.19 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.94 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.24 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.24 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.96 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.28 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.61 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 25.15 (no injury) 
Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.72 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.5 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.1 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.16 (no injury) 
Mf Haakon Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.82 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.55 (no injury) 
Fw David Ball: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.77 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Giles Walsh SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 11

     intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          12   0  31  54  37
  FC United of Manchester  18   0  25  44  30

FC United of Manchester is using Offside Trap!
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (37 - 25) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((54 - 44) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((31 - 30) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 83.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 96.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 13.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 46.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for FC United of Manchester
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 84.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  18   0  25  44  30
  Carlton Town FC          12   0  31  54  37

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 31)
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((44 - 54) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 37) / 5;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 3  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0
 
Match Notes
Fellow relegee Senator Mike will surely be rolling out the red carpet to host us, as they solidify their promotion position at our expense. No injuries is all I can hope for here
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:24 PM
No cards, no injuries! ‘Glass half full’ kind of loss
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/23 - 4:10 PM
 
 
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