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Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
 
Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC                     BRIDGWATER TOWN

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Namir  Cohen            8    0    8     Gk Joe Richman            11    0   11
Df Kyle Harris             7    2    9     Sw Regõ Balog              7    2    9
Df Ruud Voorhees           5    0    5     Df Trevor Jordan           7    2    9
Df William Laroche         3    2    5     Df Riley Wright            6    2    8
Df Harley Bird             3    2    5     Df Mateo  González         3    2    5
Mf Nick Weiss             10    0   10     Df Patrick Allen           3    2    5
Mf Luke Terry              9    2   11     Mf Jose Antonio Benitez    7    2    9
Mf Jack Milligan           9    2   11     Mf Rob Manning             3    2    5
Fw Nigel Bradley           5    1    6     Mf Joshua Allen            3    2    5
Fw Thomas Reed             5    1    6     Fw Cheng Liáng             7    2    9
Fw Curtis Lawrence         3    2    5     Fw Laurence Clarke         7    1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  0 24 32 17        ROSTER TOTALS      11  9 27 19 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  0 24 32 26         T O T A L S       11  9 27 19 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.34 (no red card)

Df Kyle Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.89 (no red card)

Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.02 (no red card)

Df William Laroche: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.97 (no red card)

Df Harley Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.55 (no red card)

Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.84 (no red card)

Mf Luke Terry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.76 (no red card)

Mf Jack Milligan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.09 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.92 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.21 (no red card)

Fw Curtis Lawrence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.15 (no second yellow)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Richman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.35 (no red card)

Sw Regõ Balog: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.04 (no red card)

Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.99 (no red card)

Df Riley Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Df Mateo  González: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.57 (no red card)

Df Patrick Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.81 (no red card)

Mf Jose Antonio Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.58 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.55 (no second yellow)

Mf Rob Manning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.9 (no red card)

Mf Joshua Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.6 (no red card)

Fw Cheng Liáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.34 (no red card)

Fw Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Namir  Cohen: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.59 (no injury) 
Df Kyle Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.77 (no injury) 
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no injury) 
Df William Laroche: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.05 (no injury) 
Df Harley Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.67 (no injury) 
Mf Nick Weiss: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.51 (no injury) 
Mf Luke Terry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.67 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Milligan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.64 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Bradley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.56 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Reed: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.14 (no injury) 
Fw Curtis Lawrence: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.93 (no injury) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 0
   - Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joe Richman: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 91.64 (no injury) 
Sw Regõ Balog: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.69 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Jordan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Trevor Jordan is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Trevor Jordan new match skill level =  4
      Trevor Jordan new match total level =  6
Df Riley Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.23 (no injury) 
Df Mateo  González: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no injury) 
Df Patrick Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.87 (no injury) 
Mf Jose Antonio Benitez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Mf Rob Manning: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.61 (no injury) 
Mf Joshua Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.0 (no injury) 
Fw Cheng Liáng: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no injury) 
Fw Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nick Weiss SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Joe Richman SL 11

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jose Antonio Benitez SL 7
   - Defending Gk: Namir  Cohen SL 8

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  24  32  26
  Bridgwater Town          11   9  24  19  17

Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 2 (26 - 24); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 7 ((32 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 2 ((24 - 17) / 5); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Ruud Voorhees
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 5.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Luke Terry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Jack Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Nick Weiss
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jack Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jack Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jack Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Nick Weiss
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 67.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Curtis Lawrence
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 57.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Nigel Bradley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bridgwater Town          11   9  24  19  17
  Forest Green Rovers FC   8   0  24  32  26

Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 24)
Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 2  -  BRIDGWATER TOWN 0
 
Match Notes
home fans may see a few fringe players
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 05/30 - 8:47 PM  
Forest Green vs Bridgwater Town. The ball will be round, the pitch will be rectangular, and somewhere in the cosmos, none of this will matter. Still, here we are.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/01 - 7:30 PM  
happy with this
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 06/08 - 10:40 PM  
 
 
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