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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jay Hussain            16    0   16     Gk Ethan Flynn            17    2   19
Df Pablo Arboleda         13    2   15     Df Bobby Baker             5    2    7
Df Thomas McIntyre        12    1   13     Df Carrington Morrissey   13    2   15
Df Mason Shaw              7    2    9     Df George Brown            7    2    9
Mf William Carney         13    1   14     Df Coll Whyte              3    2    5
Mf Mons Nygård            12    2   14     Mf Michael Reilly         11    2   13
Mf Ryan White              7    2    9     Mf Gareth Gascoigne        7    2    9
Mf Lewis Coppell           7    2    9     Mf Logan Blair             5    2    7
Fw Sean Moore             13    2   15     Mf John Lindsay            3    2    5
Fw Jermaine Bennett        7    2    9     Fw Enzo Dupont             7    1    8
Fw Raphaël Soulie          3    2    5     Fw Kyle Smith              3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 37 46 29        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 36 34 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 46 46 29         T O T A L S       20  0 40 37 13    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.93 (no red card)

Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.52 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.35 (no red card)

Df Mason Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.28 (no red card)

Mf William Carney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.6 (no red card)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.82 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.41 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.01 (no red card)

Fw Sean Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.48 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.5 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.2 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 1.14 (no red card)

Df Bobby Baker: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.49 (no red card)

Df Carrington Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.11 (no red card)

Df George Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.61 (no red card)

Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.04 (no red card)

Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 42.43 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.42 (no red card)

Mf Logan Blair: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 56.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.31 (no red card)

Mf John Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.29 (no red card)

Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.98 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Jay Hussain: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 64.12 (no injury) 
Df Pablo Arboleda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.76 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.63 (no injury) 
Df Mason Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 7.09 (no injury) 
Mf William Carney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.49 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.13 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 20.99 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.99 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Bennett: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.08 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.83 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ethan Flynn: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 34.84 (no injury) 
Df Bobby Baker: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.38 (no injury) 
Df George Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.31 (no injury) 
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.04 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Reilly: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.79 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.13 (no injury) 
Mf Logan Blair: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.27 (no injury) 
Mf John Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.8 (no injury) 
Fw Enzo Dupont: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.55 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.84 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pablo Arboleda SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ethan Flynn SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 68% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carrington Morrissey SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Jay Hussain SL 16

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  46  46  29
  Halifax Town AFC         20   0  40  37  13

Halifax Town AFC is using Offside Trap!
Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 40)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((46 - 37) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 7 ((46 - 13) / 5); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Pablo Arboleda
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 79.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 51.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 43.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Thomas McIntyre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 38.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 52.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 72.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 76.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 79.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf William Carney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Halifax Town AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         20   0  40  37  13
  Swindon Supermarine FC   16   0  46  46  29

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Halifax Town AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (13 - 46)
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 46) / 2;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 2 ((40 - 29) / 5) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Carrington Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df George Brown
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 24.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 1  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 0
 
Match Notes
it seems we do not travel well to Swindon. Bit like entering a spiders web
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 06/15 - 9:59 AM
 
 
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