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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Clevedon Town FC
Bryce Kalmbach
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            CLEVEDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gianluca De Luca       11    2   13     Gk Theo White             13    2   15
Sw Sean Buckley           13    2   15     Sw Christian Murray        7    2    9
Df Niklas Schneider       10    2   12     Df Billy Smith            11    1   12
Df Francisco Vera          7    2    9     Df Michael Thompson        7    2    9
Df Lok Guo                 3    2    5     Df Lukas Mas               7    2    9
Mf Marco Rizzo            13    0   13     Mf Eoghan Thompson         7    2    9
Mf Jeff Shilton            7    2    9     Mf James Thompson          3    2    5
Fw Carlton Lloyd          14    2   16     Mf Oliver Chaffersey       3    2    5
Fw Sean Sturridge         13    2   15     Fw Jamie Hunt             11    2   13
Fw Corey Page              7    2    9     Fw Charles Hopkins        11    2   13
Fw Gonzalo Soler           7    2    9     Fw Francis Richards        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 26 22 49        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 30 19 31    
       0  0  0  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 15 26 22 59         T O T A L S       15  9 30 19 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.43 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.81 (no red card)

Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.73 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.3 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.53 (no second yellow)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.22 (no red card)

Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.73 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.27 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.84 (no second yellow)

Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.01 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.61 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.4 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.05 (no red card)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Theo White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 82.04 (no red card)

Sw Christian Murray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.45 (no red card)

Df Billy Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.47 (no red card)

Df Michael Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.26 (no red card)

Df Lukas Mas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.79 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no red card)

Mf James Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.75 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.57 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.06 (no red card)

Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.33 (no red card)

Fw Francis Richards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.68 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.21 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Gianluca De Luca: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 61.27 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.47 (no injury) 
Df Niklas Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.69 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.86 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.22 (no injury) 
Mf Marco Rizzo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 61.57 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.07 (no injury) 
Fw Carlton Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.04 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.61 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 5.69 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.9 (no injury) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Clevedon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Theo White: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 59.8 (no injury) 
Sw Christian Murray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.71 (no injury) 
Df Billy Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.58 (no injury) 
Df Michael Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.33 (no injury) 
Df Lukas Mas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.03 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.43 (no injury) 
Mf James Thompson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.36 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.53 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Hunt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Hopkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.06 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Richards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.43 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Carlton Lloyd SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Theo White SL 13

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Billy Smith SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Gianluca De Luca SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  26  22  59
  Clevedon Town FC         15   9  30  19  31

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 29 (59 - 30); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 55.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 47.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 1.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 44.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Carlton Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 80.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
31: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CLEVEDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Clevedon Town FC         15   9  30  19  31
  Bedford Town FC          13  15  26  22  59

Clevedon Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (31 - 26); result rounded up
Clevedon Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Clevedon Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Charles Hopkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Francis Richards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Jamie Hunt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 2  -  CLEVEDON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Here’s hoping
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/16 - 3:08 PM
Close game
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/16 - 3:09 PM
Almost snuck a draw but Bedford deserved the win.
Bryce (Clevedon Town FC) 06/22 - 4:58 AM
 
 
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