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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Morgan James           16    2   18     Gk Diego Forlán           12    2   14
Sw Cameron Harrison       11    0   11     Sw Lukas Christiaens      12    2   14
Df Sebastian Castillo     12    2   14     Df Agostino Beretta       19    2   21
Df Andy Davis             10    2   12     Df Leo Bergström          13    2   15
Df Quentin Lesage          3    2    5     Df Sean Callahan           7    2    9
Fw Damien Monin           11    0   11     Df Luke Crowley            7    2    9
Mf Baron Palmer            7   -2    5     Mf Mateo Philippe         13    2   15
Mf Santiago Rojas          7   -1    6     Mf Kunio Yamamoto          7    2    9
Fw Carrington Wilkins     13    1   14     Mf Fernando Rocha          3    2    5
Fw Sebastian Colombo      12    2   14     Fw Paul Millot            13    2   15
Fw Hernan Acosta          11    0   11     Fw Matais Juarez           7    0    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 31 11 50        ROSTER TOTALS      14 14 54 29 22    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  2  5  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 31 18 52         T O T A L S       17 17 59 29 22    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Morgan James: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.72 (no red card)

Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.82 (no red card)

Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.54 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.31 (no second yellow)

Df Andy Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.11 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.58 (no second yellow)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.6 (no red card)

Fw Damien Monin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.54 (no red card)

Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.0 (no red card)

Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.69 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.2 (no red card)

Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.82 (no red card)

Fw Hernan Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.75 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 54.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 22.94 (no red card)

Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 69.45 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.37 (no red card)

Df Leo Bergström: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 8.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.9 (no second yellow)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 9.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 34.08 (no second yellow)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 42.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 25.36 (no red card)

Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 79.41 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 53.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 69.18 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 21.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 50.4 (no red card)

Fw Paul Millot: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 35.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 98.93 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Morgan James: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.09 (no injury) 
Sw Cameron Harrison: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 47.31 (no injury) 
Df Sebastian Castillo: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 68.13 (no injury) 
Df Andy Davis: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 11.69 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Monin: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 82.21 (no injury) 
Mf Baron Palmer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.65 (no injury) 
Mf Santiago Rojas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 49.0 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Wilkins: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 68.68 (no injury) 
Fw Sebastian Colombo: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.85 (no injury) 
Fw Hernan Acosta: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Diego Forlán: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 21.89 (no injury) 
Sw Lukas Christiaens: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.51 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 54.67 (no injury) 
Df Leo Bergström: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.5 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 45.88 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 90.3 (no injury) 
Mf Mateo Philippe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 83.87 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.04 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.58 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Millot: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.96 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 36.33 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Carrington Wilkins SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Diego Forlán SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Morgan James SL 16

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            18  11  31  18  52
  Tonbridge Angels         17  17  59  29  22

Boston United Fw Attacks = 0 (52 - 59)
Boston United Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Boston United Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Boston United Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Andy Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Andy Davis
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Sebastian Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         17  17  59  29  22
  Boston United            18  11  31  18  52

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 31)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 3 ((29 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 2 ((59 - 52) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Df Agostino Beretta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 85.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Mateo Philippe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 0  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
Our second difficult game this weekend.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/14 - 4:44 PM
Boston is going all out for the division title. We have ground we need to make up. Home matches are 3 points or bust!
Rob (Boston United) 06/15 - 3:45 PM
OOF. This game did not go well.
Rob (Boston United) 06/17 - 4:27 PM
Another close one that we managed to find a way.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/21 - 9:27 PM
 
 
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