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Boston United
Rob Peterson
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BOSTON UNITED                              AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reece Wilkinson        15    2   17     Gk Kevin Hawkins          15    1   16
Sw Jannick Neumann         7    2    9     Sw Kai Laidlaw             7    2    9
Df Quentin Lesage         13    1   14     Df Axel Lacour            13    1   14
Df Taylor Alexander       12    2   14     Df Gareth Trickelbank     13    1   14
Df Martin Durham           7    2    9     Df Baron Jackson           7   -1    6
Mf David King             13    2   15     Mf Gabriel Welbeck        13    2   15
Mf Javier Diaz             7    2    9     Mf Gareth Scott            7   -1    6
Fw Kenny Stretch          13    2   15     Fw Fernando Cano          13    1   14
Fw Giorgio Sanna          13    1   14     Fw Sam East               13    1   14
Fw Jacob Coppell          14    0   14     Fw Benjamin Christensen   11    1   12
Fw Logan Edwards           7    2    9     Fw William Bell            7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  9 37 24 52        ROSTER TOTALS      16  9 34 21 49    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  9 37 24 61         T O T A L S       17  9 34 21 49    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BOSTON UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card)

Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.1 (no red card)

Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.42 (no red card)

Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)

Df Martin Durham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.66 (no red card)

Mf David King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.23 (no red card)

Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.39 (no red card)

Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.57 (no red card)

Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.53 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.02 (no second yellow)

Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.9 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 62.71 (no red card)

Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.66 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.95 (no red card)

Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.16 (no red card)

Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.94 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.77 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.22 (no red card)

Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 66.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.62 (no red card)

Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Reece Wilkinson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 66.09 (no injury) 
Sw Jannick Neumann: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.67 (no injury) 
Df Quentin Lesage: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Quentin Lesage is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Taylor Alexander: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.73 (no injury) 
Df Martin Durham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.92 (no injury) 
Mf David King: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.66 (no injury) 
Mf Javier Diaz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.84 (no injury) 
Fw Kenny Stretch: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.17 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Sanna: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jacob Coppell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.86 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Edwards: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.53 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Boston United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 49.77 (no injury) 
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.79 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.49 (no injury) 
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.01 (no injury) 
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.84 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.77 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.44 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 96.34 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.33 (no injury) 
Fw Benjamin Christensen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.77 (no injury) 
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.25 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      William Bell is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      William Bell new match skill level =  4
      William Bell new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jacob Coppell SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  BOSTON UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Axel Lacour SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Reece Wilkinson SL 15

     intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BOSTON UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Boston United            17   9  37  24  61
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17   9  34  21  46

Boston United Fw Attacks = 27 (61 - 34); result rounded up
Boston United Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Boston United Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Boston United Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf David King
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Javier Diaz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 56.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Kenny Stretch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Logan Edwards
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
27: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 33.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Jacob Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Giorgio Sanna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17   9  34  21  46
  Boston United            17   9  37  24  61

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 9 (46 - 37); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 61) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw William Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Benjamin Christensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BOSTON UNITED 1  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1
 
Match Notes
This is always a squishy match
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/06 - 9:32 PM
At least we're both on a two game session type of squish
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/06 - 9:35 PM
Definitely gotta try to figure out a way to fit them youth players in in a 2 game session. That's always tough.
Rob (Boston United) 02/07 - 4:37 AM
Lucky not to lose here.
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 02/07 - 9:46 PM
I feel like we lost two points here. We should have had all three. Hopefully they don't come back to bite us in the end.
Rob (Boston United) 02/14 - 3:53 AM
 
 
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