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Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC                     CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Ryan Caron             14    2   16     Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15
Df Thomas McIntyre        13    2   15     Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13
Df Cliff Trickelbank       7    2    9     Df Christopher Macbeth     9    0    9
Df Evan Burke              7    2    9     Df Oscar Brennan           9    0    9
Mf Ryan White             12    2   14     Df Jeff Charlton           7    2    9
Mf Lewis Coppell          12    2   14     Mf Giles Walsh            12    0   12
Mf Mons Nygård            12    2   14     Mf Federico Gentile        7    1    8
Mf Ryan Ludley             7    2    9     Fw Santiago Rubio         11    2   13
Fw Agustin Martínez       13    2   15     Fw Taylor Cockayne        11    0   11
Fw Raphaël Soulie          7    2    9     Fw Jonas Lien              9    2   11
Fw Aidan Anderson          3    2    5     Mf Rhys McColl             5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 33 51 29        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 40 27 35    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17  0 33 60 29         T O T A L S       15  0 40 27 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 52.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.54 (no red card)

Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.09 (no red card)

Df Evan Burke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)

Mf Ryan White: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.13 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.49 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.46 (no second yellow)

Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 36.83 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.0 (no red card)

Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.54 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.6 (no red card)

Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.2 (no red card)

Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.14 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.26 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.13 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.54 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.39 (no red card)

Mf Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Ryan Caron: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 38.77 (no injury) 
Df Thomas McIntyre: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.39 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.44 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Cliff Trickelbank is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Cliff Trickelbank new match skill level =  4
      Cliff Trickelbank new match total level =  6
Df Evan Burke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.84 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan White: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.56 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Coppell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.35 (no injury) 
Mf Mons Nygård: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.72 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Ludley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.51 (no injury) 
Fw Agustin Martínez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.02 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Soulie: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.26 (no injury) 
Fw Aidan Anderson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.98 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 98.55 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.07 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Macbeth: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.2 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.02 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.9 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.62 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 12.85 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.4 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.28 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.94 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.73 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas McIntyre SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 63
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 63 (no penalty kick)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ryan Caron SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  30  60  29
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  40  27  35

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (29 - 40)
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((60 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 35) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.9 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 85.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 31.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Ryan White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 79.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Mf Mons Nygård
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Lewis Coppell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Mf Ryan Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  40  27  35
  Swindon Supermarine FC   17   0  30  60  29

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 3 (35 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((40 - 29) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Jeff Charlton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Christopher Macbeth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 1.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 4  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 
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