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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 38 // Landing
 
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 8
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     AFC WIMBLEDON

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gordon Wilkins         15    1   16     Gk Kenzie Ross            17    2   19
Sw Luís Morais            14    2   16     Df Riley O'Brien          11    2   13
Df Lucas Soramaki         12    0   12     Df Lee Robertson          13    2   15
Df Simon Charlton         11   -1   10     Df Luke Jackson            7    0    7
Df Robert Wilson          10    0   10     Mf Aarron Shepherd        13    2   15
Mf Ashton Ali             13    0   13     Df Oscar Hall             14    0   14
Mf Thomas Thomsen          8    2   10     Mf Oliver Johnstone       10    2   12
Fw Giorgio Grasso         14    1   15     Fw Reuben Thomas          14    2   16
Fw Angus Williamson       15    0   15     Fw Bradley McCarthy       13    1   14
Fw Giles Lee               9    1   10     Fw Marty Allen            11    2   13
Fw William Hay             7    2    9     Fw Carrington Bates        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 16 32 23 49        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 49 27 48    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 16 32 23 58         T O T A L S       20  0 49 27 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 67.78 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.15 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 97.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.41 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 79.54 (no red card)

Df Robert Wilson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.79 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.03 (no red card)

Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.4 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.45 (no red card)

Fw Giles Lee: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.58 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.42 (no red card)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 72.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no red card)

Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.52 (no red card)

Df Lee Robertson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.35 (no second yellow)

Df Luke Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.7 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 32.1 (no second yellow)

Df Oscar Hall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.46 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.08 (no second yellow)

Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.4 (no red card)

Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.4 (no red card)

Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no red card)

Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.25 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.31 (no second yellow)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 30.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.27 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 87.4 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.7 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 32.97 (no injury) 
Df Robert Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.37 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.69 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.42 (no injury) 
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.24 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 80.86 (no injury) 
Fw Giles Lee: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.17 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 30.91 (no injury) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kenzie Ross: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 11.08 (no injury) 
Df Riley O'Brien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 68.43 (no injury) 
Df Lee Robertson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no injury) 
Df Luke Jackson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.54 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Shepherd: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.02 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Hall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.55 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Johnstone: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 91.98 (no injury) 
Fw Reuben Thomas: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 75.57 (no injury) 
Fw Bradley McCarthy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.12 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.32 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angus Williamson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kenzie Ross SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Oscar Hall SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  16  32  23  58
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  49  27  48

AFC Wimbledon is using Offside Trap!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 5 (58 - 49) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 44.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Wimbledon
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 8.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20   0  49  27  48
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   17  16  32  23  58

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 16 (48 - 32); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 2 ((27 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 58) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Oliver Johnstone
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Aarron Shepherd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 28.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Marty Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Bradley McCarthy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 50.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 76.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Reuben Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 30.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0  -  AFC WIMBLEDON 0
 
Match Notes
We are deploying GPS systems in hopes more WIM shots will be on target…..last in the league on target will not get the job done
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/15 - 1:33 PM
Biased officiating issuing 4 yellow cards to the Dons and nothing to the diamonds
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/15 - 9:40 PM
 
 
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