(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
League Round 8
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC AFC WIMBLEDON
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 16 2 18 Gk Guillaume Hebert 16 2 18
Sw Archie Milner 14 2 16 Sw Jamie Aikenhead 14 2 16
Df Devon Allen 13 2 15 Df Ryan Barber 13 2 15
Df Algernon Murphy 7 2 9 Df Elias Schneider 7 2 9
Mf Evan Burns 15 2 17 Mf Nigel Howells 13 2 15
Mf Sylar Kelley 14 2 16 Mf Callum Blake 7 2 9
Mf Sheng Guo 7 2 9 Fw Ben Butcher 16 1 17
Mf Marcos Azevedo 11 1 12 Fw Alberto Gomez 13 2 15
Mf Evan Gerrard 11 2 13 Fw Carrington Bates 13 2 15
Fw William Murphy 10 2 12 Fw Harry Pastor 13 2 15
Fw Scott Marshall 9 2 11 Fw Brian Sanchez 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 16 24 67 23 ROSTER TOTALS 18 16 24 24 71
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 7 2 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
19 16 31 69 23 T O T A L S 21 19 24 24 71
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 79.26 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 56.24 (no red card)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.78 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.26 (no red card)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.89 (no red card)
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 5.53 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.89 (no second yellow)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.4 (no red card)
Mf Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.36 (no red card)
Mf Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.53 (no red card)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.12 (no red card)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.95 (no red card)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 6.11 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 1.89 (no red card)
Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.95 (no red card)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.3 (no red card)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.15 (no red card)
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.69 (no red card)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.17 (no red card)
Fw Alberto Gomez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.1 (no red card)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.09 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 59.27 (no injury)
Sw Archie Milner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.32 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.43 (no injury)
Df Algernon Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.03 (no injury)
Mf Evan Burns: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.3 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 1
Evan Burns is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
Evan Burns new match skill level = 8
Evan Burns new match total level = 10
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 8.69 (no injury)
Mf Sheng Guo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.87 (no injury)
Mf Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 99.52 (no injury)
Mf Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.47 (no injury)
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.79 (no injury)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.5 (no injury)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 51.31 (no injury)
Sw Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.09 (no injury)
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 39.72 (no injury)
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.59 (no injury)
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.74 (no injury)
Mf Callum Blake: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 26.51 (no injury)
Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury)
Fw Alberto Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.53 (no injury)
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury)
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.11 (no injury)
Fw Brian Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 58.35 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Sylar Kelley SL 14
- Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Ben Butcher SL 16
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 19 16 31 62 23
AFC Wimbledon 21 19 24 24 71
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 24)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((62 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 71) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf Evan Burns
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Evan Burns
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 40.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 63.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Mf Evan Gerrard
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Wimbledon 21 19 24 24 71
Welling United FC 19 16 31 62 23
AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 40 (71 - 31); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 62) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 41
1: Attack for Df Ryan Barber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 91.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 30.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
26: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 67.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
29: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 92.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
30: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
33: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 56.28 (Shot Saved by Gk)
34: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
35: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
36: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
37: Attack for Fw Brian Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 7.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
38: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 41.59 (Shot Saved by Gk)
39: Attack for Fw Alberto Gomez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
40: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target)
41: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 0 - AFC WIMBLEDON 2
Match Notes
Will be difficult to get any points here today
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 06/05 - 2:21 PM
Eduard bringing his Welling side out under the lights for this one — AFC Wimbledon won't roll over easily. The ground will shake before the final whistle.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/05 - 7:30 PM
I assumed Dave would prioritize the other matches
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/11 - 2:35 PM
I assumed wrong
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/11 - 2:36 PM
So it's the rare case of a well deserved away win at WEL
Eduard (Welling United FC) 06/11 - 2:36 PM