(H)

FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin

Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18 Gk Carlton Fortune-West 7 2 9 Sw Keith Davis 12 2 14 Sw Jake James 10 2 12 Df Diego Acosta 11 0 11 Df William Cockham 10 1 11 Df Finlay Butcher 7 2 9 Df Louie Bentinck 9 0 9 Df Louie Hill 7 2 9 Df Erik Meyer 7 2 9 Mf Simon Fischer 17 1 18 Mf Thomas Constant 12 2 14 Mf Glen Banks 10 2 12 Mf Zachary Bell 10 -1 9 Mf Kian Sansom 7 2 9 Mf George Thomas 8 2 10 Fw Noah Schäfer 10 2 12 Mf Sam Bate 5 2 7 Fw Harley Dowson 7 2 9 Fw Luca Bell 11 1 12 Fw David Ball 7 2 9 Fw Nico Fuchs 9 1 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 14 29 39 30 ROSTER TOTALS 9 12 29 40 22 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 14 29 39 39 T O T A L S 9 12 32 43 22 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.89 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.45 (no red card) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.75 (no red card) Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.5 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.12 (no second yellow) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.91 (no red card) Df Louie Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.26 (no red card) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.42 (no red card) Mf Glen Banks: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.31 (no red card) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.14 (no red card) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.34 (no red card) Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.22 (no red card) Fw David Ball: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.54 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.22 (no red card) Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 42.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 92.47 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 21.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 76.03 (no red card) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 35.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 63.72 (no red card) Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 92.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 10.79 (no red card) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 72.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 15.93 (no red card) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 64.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 13.77 (no red card) Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 71.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 52.73 (no red card) Mf Sam Bate: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 51.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 81.22 (no red card) Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 38.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 90.75 (no red card) Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 3.98 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 21.97 (no second yellow) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.99 (no injury) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 59.62 (no injury) Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 25.25 (no injury) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 1.61 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Finlay Butcher is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Louie Hill: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 86.29 (no injury) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 90.5 (no injury) Mf Glen Banks: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 80.45 (no injury) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 15.68 (no injury) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 82.84 (no injury) Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 50.64 (no injury) Fw David Ball: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 19.75 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury) Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.87 (no injury) Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 27.12 (no injury) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 1.84 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Louie Bentinck is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.87 (no injury) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 95.51 (no injury) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 54.92 (no injury) Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.48 (no injury) Mf Sam Bate: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.58 (no injury) Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.07 (no injury) Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.52 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17 - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 7 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Thomas Constant SL 12 - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16 intRndPk = 51 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 18 14 29 39 39 Mossley AFC 9 12 32 43 22 FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 7 (39 - 32); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((39 - 43) / 2; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 3 ((29 - 22) / 3); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Finlay Butcher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 17.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Louie Hill Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 29.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw David Ball Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 52.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 22.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 9 12 32 43 22 FC United of Manchester 18 14 29 39 39 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 29) Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 2 ((43 - 39) / 2) ; result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 39) / 3; rounded up) Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Mf Zachary Bell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf George Thomas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 0 - MOSSLEY AFC 0
Match Notes

Dr. Jaffe is currently just below us on goal differential alone. We’d take a draw to keep it that way
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/17 - 7:25 PM

Never, ever, bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 06/21 - 5:28 AM


Happy with the hoped-for draw!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 06/23 - 4:09 PM