(H)
Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
League Round 7
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
MOSSLEY AFC BEDFORD TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Felipe Carvalho 7 2 9 Gk Lewis Gray 7 2 9
Sw Frank Hart 7 2 9 Sw Ian Moore 12 -1 11
Df Erik Meyer 10 0 10 Df James Dunn 7 2 9
Df Sying Yáng 11 0 11 Df Rodrigo Bischoff 3 2 5
Df Billy Slater 8 0 8 Mf Dylan Grant 7 2 9
Mf Jason Ellis 11 1 12 Mf Harley Pastor 3 2 5
Mf Giorgio Testa 8 1 9 Fw Gerry Walker 12 2 14
Mf George Thomas 8 1 9 Fw Gonzalo Soler 8 2 10
Fw Sam Lewis 12 0 12 Fw Billy Porter 7 -1 6
Fw Luca Bell 10 0 10 Fw Niklas Möller 7 2 9
Fw Harrison Arnott 3 2 5 Fw Niall Johnston 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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9 9 29 30 27 ROSTER TOTALS 9 11 14 14 44
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 1 0
0 0 3 0 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
9 9 32 30 33 T O T A L S 9 11 15 15 44
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.0 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.14 (no red card)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.03 (no red card)
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.3 (no red card)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.34 (no red card)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.34 (no red card)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.05 (no red card)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)
Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.72 (no red card)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.02 (no red card)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.8 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.31 (no red card)
Fw Harrison Arnott: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.2 (no red card)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.25 (no red card)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 42.69 (no red card)
Df James Dunn: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 47.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.1 (no red card)
Df Rodrigo Bischoff: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 75.9 (no red card)
Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 0.68 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.36 (no second yellow)
Mf Harley Pastor: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.7 (no red card)
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.62 (no red card)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 1.63 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.84 (no second yellow)
Fw Billy Porter: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.02 (no red card)
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 53.5 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.11 (no red card)
Fw Niall Johnston: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 11.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 95.77 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Felipe Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury)
Sw Frank Hart: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.81 (no injury)
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.89 (no injury)
Df Sying Yáng: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.45 (no injury)
Df Billy Slater: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.82 (no injury)
Mf Jason Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.28 (no injury)
Mf Giorgio Testa: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury)
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.38 (no injury)
Fw Sam Lewis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 66.76 (no injury)
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.84 (no injury)
Fw Harrison Arnott: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.22 (no injury)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
- Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Lewis Gray: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 58.38 (no injury)
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.62 (no injury)
Df James Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.7 (no injury)
Df Rodrigo Bischoff: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.43 (no injury)
Mf Dylan Grant: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.14 (no injury)
Mf Harley Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 77.0 (no injury)
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.87 (no injury)
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.25 (no injury)
Fw Billy Porter: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.26 (no injury)
Fw Niklas Möller: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.53 (no injury)
Fw Niall Johnston: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.68 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Sam Lewis SL 12
- Defending Gk: Lewis Gray SL 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gerry Walker SL 12
- Defending Gk: Felipe Carvalho SL 7
intRndPk = 21
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 21 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Mossley AFC 9 9 32 30 33
Bedford Town FC 9 11 15 15 44
Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 18 (33 - 15); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 8 ((30 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 26
1: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Giorgio Testa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf George Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf George Thomas
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Jason Ellis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 27.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 66.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 19.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Harrison Arnott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 97.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
18: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 98.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target)
21: Attack for Fw Harrison Arnott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 80.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
22: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 35.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Sam Lewis
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
******* BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Bedford Town FC 9 11 15 15 44
Mossley AFC 9 9 32 30 33
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (44 - 32); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 33) / 3; rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.48 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 7.49 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Niklas Möller
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Gerry Walker
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 74.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Billy Porter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 20.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Niall Johnston
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
MOSSLEY AFC 4 - BEDFORD TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
Mossley versus Bedford Town. Two clubs preparing to generate ninety minutes of data that will mean precisely nothing to the universe. I'll be watching anyway, because apparently that's what I do now.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/05 - 7:30 PM
That’s just not acceptable
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/06 - 7:08 PM
Compton holding fire on answering the press
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/06 - 7:08 PM