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Chippenham Town FC
Matthew Fowler
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney             6    2    8     Gk Thiago Alves           13    2   15
Sw Reece Hamilton          3    2    5     Sw çngel Gabriel López     7    2    9
Df Peter Price            11    0   11     Df Marcelo Fernandez      13    0   13
Df Nathan Doyle            7    2    9     Df Oscar Brennan          11    0   11
Df Harrison Dean           6    0    6     Df Joshua Evans            9    0    9
Mf Ernest Dohm             7   -2    5     Mf Vegard  Haugland       12    0   12
Mf Marty Nicholls          5   -1    4     Mf Giles Walsh             7    2    9
Mf Evan Jones              3    2    5     Mf Gast?n Franco           7    2    9
Fw Francesco Rinaldi      13    0   13     Fw Alfred Forsberg        13    1   14
Fw Alejandro Vera         10    0   10     Fw Taylor Cockayne        12    1   13
Fw Dave Byrne              4    2    6     Fw Santiago Rubio          7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       8  5 26 14 29        ROSTER TOTALS      15  9 33 30 36    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       8  5 26 14 38         T O T A L S       15  9 33 30 36    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.41 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.39 (no red card)

Df Peter Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.65 (no red card)

Df Harrison Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.87 (no red card)

Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.03 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.34 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.97 (no red card)

Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.91 (no red card)

Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.06 (no red card)

Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.63 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 47.73 (no red card)

Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.01 (no red card)

Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.25 (no red card)

Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.28 (no red card)

Df Joshua Evans: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.31 (no red card)

Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.34 (no red card)

Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.65 (no red card)

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.49 (no red card)

Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.17 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.87 (no red card)

Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 60.53 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.22 (no injury) 
Df Peter Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.07 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.76 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.23 (no injury) 
Mf Ernest Dohm: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Ernest Dohm is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Ernest Dohm new match skill level =  4
      Ernest Dohm new match total level =  2
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.85 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.92 (no injury) 
Fw Francesco Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.88 (no injury) 
Fw Alejandro Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.43 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Byrne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.36 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.41 (no injury) 
Sw çngel Gabriel López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no injury) 
Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.01 (no injury) 
Df Oscar Brennan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no injury) 
Df Joshua Evans: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.38 (no injury) 
Mf Vegard  Haugland: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.82 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.86 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.68 (no injury) 
Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.95 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Cockayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.74 (no injury) 
Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.78 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francesco Rinaldi SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 13

     intRndPk = 78
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 78 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Marcelo Fernandez SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 6

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       8   5  26  11  38
  Carlton Town FC          15   9  33  30  36

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 5 (38 - 33); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((11 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 50.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Alejandro Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Francesco Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   9  33  30  36
  Chippenham Town FC       8   5  26  11  38

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 10 (36 - 26); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 10 ((30 - 11) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 38) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 84.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 62.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 52.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 33.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Vegard  Haugland
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 1.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 59.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 75.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Taylor Cockayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 4
 
Match Notes
The losing streak looks like continuing. All the best Mike
Matthew (Chippenham Town FC) 06/13 - 10:40 PM
 
 
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