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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Swindon Supermarine FC
John Blazel
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk John Clemence          11    0   11     Gk Aidan Peters            7    2    9
Sw Connor Robinson         7    1    8     Df Jared Lampton          13    2   15
Df Bryan Price            11    0   11     Df Ahmed Alaoui            7    2    9
Df Diego Torres           10    2   12     Mf Rodrigo Fernández      13    2   15
Df Peter Hewitt            7    2    9     Mf Francis Jankel          7    2    9
Mf Tony Long              13    0   13     Mf Jay Campbell            7    2    9
Mf Michael Schulz          7    2    9     Fw Leo O'Donnell          12    2   14
Fw Elias Blucher          12    0   12     Fw Tyler MacDonald        12    2   14
Fw Kinga Nemes            13    0   13     Fw Joe Baker              12    2   14
Mf Gregory Hines           7    2    9     Fw Kai Roberts             7    2    9
Fw Stewart Ruby            7    2    9     Fw Ryan Thompson           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  8 32 31 34        ROSTER TOTALS       9  0 24 33 56    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  5  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      11  8 32 31 48         T O T A L S        9  0 24 33 56    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.71 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.37 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.03 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.64 (no red card)

Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.97 (no red card)

Mf Tony Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.42 (no red card)

Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.07 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Michael Schulz new match skill level =  4
      Michael Schulz new match total level =  6

Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.43 (no red card)

Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.11 (no red card)

Mf Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.93 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.07 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.97 (no red card)

Df Jared Lampton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.41 (no red card)

Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.94 (no red card)

Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.69 (no red card)

Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.85 (no red card)

Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.75 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.66 (no second yellow)

Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.52 (no red card)

Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.74 (no red card)

Fw Joe Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.04 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.64 (no second yellow)

Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.09 (no red card)

Fw Ryan Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Clemence: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 18.13 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.94 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 61.02 (no injury) 
Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury) 
Mf Tony Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.39 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.36 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.04 (no injury) 
Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.23 (no injury) 
Mf Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.48 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.02 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Supermarine FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Aidan Peters: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.56 (no injury) 
Df Jared Lampton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.84 (no injury) 
Df Ahmed Alaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.38 (no injury) 
Mf Rodrigo Fernández: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.95 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.32 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Campbell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.56 (no injury) 
Fw Leo O'Donnell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.93 (no injury) 
Fw Tyler MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.91 (no injury) 
Fw Joe Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.38 (no injury) 
Fw Ryan Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.94 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tony Long SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Aidan Peters SL 7

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jared Lampton SL 13
   - Defending Gk: John Clemence SL 11

     intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       11   8  32  28  48
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9   0  24  33  56

Swindon Supermarine FC is using Offside Trap!
Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (48 - 24) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 5.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 90.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 38.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 40.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 57.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kinga Nemes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 84.1 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 18.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 96.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Stewart Ruby
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Elias Blucher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Supermarine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Supermarine FC   9   0  24  33  56
  Chippenham Town FC       11   8  32  28  48

Swindon Supermarine FC Fw Attacks = 24 (56 - 32); result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Supermarine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 48) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Supermarine FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Mf Rodrigo Fernández
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 10.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 47.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Francis Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 82.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 59.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 95.45 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 28.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kai Roberts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 69.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Ryan Thompson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Tyler MacDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 15.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Leo O'Donnell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 43 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Joe Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 19.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 4  -  SWINDON SUPERMARINE FC 3
 
Match Notes
Delighted to steal this result!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 06/07 - 8:49 AM  
Seven goals. The universe, briefly entertained, remains unmoved. Chippenham win. Supermarine lose. Everything continues regardless.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/08 - 7:30 PM  
 
 
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