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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         16    2   18     Gk John Clemence           7    2    9
Sw Leo McNeill            13    2   15     Sw Connor Robinson        11    0   11
Df Florian Schmid         11    2   13     Df Luke Sinclair          10    0   10
Df Liam Conner            10    2   12     Df Diego Torres            7    2    9
Df Declan MacLellan        7    2    9     Df Peter Hewitt            3    2    5
Mf Leron  Katz             7    2    9     Mf Ian Hanny              10    0   10
Mf Simon Müller            7    0    7     Mf Tony Long               7    2    9
Fw Alex Murphy            12    2   14     Mf Michael Schulz          3    0    3
Fw Marcos Nuñez           11    2   13     Fw Kinga Nemes            10    0   10
Fw Kai Burke               8    2   10     Fw Elias Blucher           7    2    9
Fw Craig Porterfield       7    2    9     Fw Stewart Ruby            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 15 34 16 46        ROSTER TOTALS       9 11 24 22 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      18 15 34 18 53         T O T A L S        9 11 24 29 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.02 (no red card)

Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.07 (no red card)

Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.75 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.57 (no second yellow)

Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.94 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.79 (no red card)

Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.57 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.45 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.37 (no red card)

Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.95 (no red card)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk John Clemence: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.67 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.41 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.37 (no red card)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.48 (no red card)

Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.13 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.12 (no red card)

Mf Tony Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.22 (no red card)

Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.55 (no red card)

Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.38 (no red card)

Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.05 (no red card)

Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.98 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 62.32 (no injury) 
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.71 (no injury) 
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.41 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.33 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.28 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Declan MacLellan is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Declan MacLellan new match skill level =  4
      Declan MacLellan new match total level =  6
Mf Leron  Katz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.61 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.3 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.0 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.27 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.6 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.75 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk John Clemence: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.4 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.97 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.12 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.27 (no injury) 
Df Peter Hewitt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.89 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Ian Hanny is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Ian Hanny new match skill level =  5
      Ian Hanny new match total level =  5
Mf Tony Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.81 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Schulz: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.61 (no injury) 
Fw Kinga Nemes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.01 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Blucher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.36 (no injury) 
Fw Stewart Ruby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.18 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alex Murphy SL 12
   - Defending Gk: John Clemence SL 7

     intRndPk = 61
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luke Sinclair SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16

     intRndPk = 72
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 72 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  31  18  53
  Chippenham Town FC       9  11  24  24  24

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 29 (53 - 24); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((31 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 32

1: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 67.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 82.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 63.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 11.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 94.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 87.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 94.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 76.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
22: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 69.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 56.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
31: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       9  11  24  24  24
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  15  31  18  53

Chippenham Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 31)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 18) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Michael Schulz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 8  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
With three of.our 1st team suspended this will be a tough home match.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 01/31 - 10:29 PM
Not so tough Steve!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 02/10 - 8:14 AM
 
 
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