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Hyde FC
Carl Oakes
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

HYDE FC                                    ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk João Barbosa           12    2   14     Gk Daniel Sansom           7    2    9
Sw Connor Howard          10    2   12     Sw Callum Henderson        9    2   11
Df Pedro Almeida          13    0   13     Df Liam Conner             6    2    8
Df Jared Harper           11    0   11     Df Christopher Cox         3    2    5
Df Bobby Hill              7    2    9     Mf Cliff Cooper           10    1   11
Df Ludvig Fredriksson      3    2    5     Mf Martin Lejeune          7    2    9
Mf Riley MacTavish        12    2   14     Df Padraig Conley          5    2    7
Mf Andrés Castillo        11    2   13     Fw Geoffrey Hill          11    2   13
Mf Oisin O'Neal            3    2    5     Fw André Souza             8    2   10
Fw Dave Shilton           13    2   15     Fw Harvey Barrett          7    2    9
Fw Elliot Ritchie          7    2    9     Fw Marty Compton           3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 12 38 32 24        ROSTER TOTALS       9 11 20 20 37    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  2  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 49 34 24         T O T A L S        9 14 24 20 37    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  HYDE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk João Barbosa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.46 (no red card)

Sw Connor Howard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.79 (no red card)

Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.83 (no red card)

Df Jared Harper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.61 (no red card)

Df Bobby Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.13 (no red card)

Df Ludvig Fredriksson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.56 (no red card)

Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.79 (no red card)

Mf Andrés Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.6 (no red card)

Mf Oisin O'Neal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.64 (no red card)

Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.64 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.55 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Daniel Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.43 (no red card)

Sw Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.83 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.3 (no red card)

Df Christopher Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.32 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.26 (no second yellow)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.87 (no red card)

Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.25 (no red card)

Df Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.1 (no red card)

Fw Geoffrey Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.3 (no red card)

Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card)

Fw Marty Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  HYDE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk João Barbosa: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.3 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Howard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.88 (no injury) 
Df Pedro Almeida: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.51 (no injury) 
Df Jared Harper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.49 (no injury) 
Df Bobby Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.07 (no injury) 
Df Ludvig Fredriksson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.75 (no injury) 
Mf Riley MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.4 (no injury) 
Mf Andrés Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.54 (no injury) 
Mf Oisin O'Neal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no injury) 
Fw Dave Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.01 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Ritchie: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Hyde FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Daniel Sansom: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 6.7 (no injury) 
Sw Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.24 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.99 (no injury) 
Df Christopher Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.31 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.65 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Lejeune: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.11 (no injury) 
Df Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.33 (no injury) 
Fw Geoffrey Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.93 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.87 (no injury) 
Fw Harvey Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.33 (no injury) 
Fw Marty Compton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.46 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Pedro Almeida SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Daniel Sansom SL 7

     intRndPk = 94
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  HYDE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Geoffrey Hill SL 11
   - Defending Gk: João Barbosa SL 12

     intRndPk = 71
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  HYDE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hyde FC                  14  15  49  34  24
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  14  24  20  37

Hyde FC is Playing For A Draw!
Hyde FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 24)
Hyde FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((34 - 20) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hyde FC Df Attacks = 2 ((49 - 37) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Hyde FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Bobby Hill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 88.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jared Harper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Riley MacTavish
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 77.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Andrés Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         9  14  24  20  37
  Hyde FC                  14  15  49  34  24

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (37 - 49)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 24) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
HYDE FC 2  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Checklist Carl hosting Olmec Steve. Two managers I know well. The heat death of the universe draws fractionally closer.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/30 - 7:30 PM  
This will be tricky
Carl (Hyde FC) 05/31 - 8:56 AM  
Tricky with 4 matches and a couple of injuries
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/05 - 8:17 PM  
Luckily I won too many FWs in the auction a few weeks ago.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/05 - 8:18 PM  
6 attacks - 2 goals. Is Olmec turning?
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/06 - 7:07 PM  
Olmec Steve fails to breach Hyde. Cautious Carl's checklist, it seems, had a box marked "clean sheet" and he ticked it methodically, as men from Lisburn apparently do.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/06 - 7:30 PM  
That was a tight wee game
Carl (Hyde FC) 06/08 - 9:23 AM  
 
 
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