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Watford
James Tucker
 
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WATFORD                                    OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Riccardo Di matteo     16    2   18     Gk Thomas Anderson        12    2   14
Sw Saul Aquino            12    2   14     Df Mohammed Cherkaoui     10    1   11
Df Alain Fauché           15    1   16     Df Gabriel Correia         9    1   10
Df Walter McGree           6    2    8     Df Herman Lambert          7    2    9
Mf Hirving Borgetti       12    0   12     Df Zinedine Castex         3    2    5
Mf Federico Machado        6    2    8     Mf Vibeke Skov             7    2    9
Fw Julien De Boeck        14    2   16     Mf Mats Larsson            3    2    5
Fw Matty Begum            13    0   13     Mf Abdel Baya              3    2    5
Fw Edgar Jimenez          10    2   12     Fw Wladimir Groen          6    2    8
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal         7    2    9     Fw Jakub Fabianski         6    2    8
Fw Valerio Paredes         7    2    9     Fw Vladimir Ureña          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 14 24 20 59        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 35 19 21    
       0  0  1  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  2  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 14 27 22 64         T O T A L S       14  0 35 19 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.18 (no red card)

Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.08 (no red card)

Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.08 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.36 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.35 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.18 (no red card)

Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.88 (no red card)

Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 46.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.99 (no red card)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.7 (no red card)

Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.99 (no red card)

Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.3 (no red card)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.34 (no red card)

Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.98 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no red card)

Df Herman Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.38 (no red card)

Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.0 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.76 (no second yellow)

Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.89 (no red card)

Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.32 (no red card)

Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.35 (no red card)

Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.44 (no red card)

Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.56 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 29.28 (no injury) 
Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no injury) 
Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 20.29 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.22 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.22 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.18 (no injury) 
Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.01 (no injury) 
Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.25 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.87 (no injury) 
Fw Hakim Aboukhlal: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.19 (no injury) 
Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.15 (no injury) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 22.57 (no injury) 
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.11 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.66 (no injury) 
Df Herman Lambert: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.67 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Herman Lambert is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Herman Lambert new match skill level =  4
      Herman Lambert new match total level =  6
Df Zinedine Castex: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.85 (no injury) 
Mf Vibeke Skov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.97 (no injury) 
Mf Mats Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.21 (no injury) 
Mf Abdel Baya: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.19 (no injury) 
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.14 (no injury) 
Fw Jakub Fabianski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.01 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Ureña: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 12

     intRndPk = 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mohammed Cherkaoui SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  18  14  27  22  64
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  32  19  21

Watford Fw Attacks = 32 (64 - 32); result rounded up
Watford Mf Attacks = 2 ((22 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 2 ((27 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 36

1: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Alain Fauché
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 11.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 59.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.25 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 70.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 88.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 91.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.96 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 36.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 19.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 87.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Valerio Paredes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 95.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
29: Attack for Fw Hakim Aboukhlal
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 62.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
30: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
33: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 53 (Shot Off Target) 
34: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 48.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
35: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 51 (Shot Off Target) 
36: Attack for Fw Matty Begum
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Oldham Athletic AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Oldham Athletic AFC      14   0  32  19  21
  Watford                  18  14  27  22  64

Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 27)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 64) / 5;  rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WATFORD 5  -  OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 0
 
Match Notes
An away game against Watford. Looking at the history, it will be difficult.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/08 - 4:54 AM
Wow, what a disaster.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 06/14 - 3:20 PM
 
 
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