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Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRENTFORD FC                               LEWES FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tom Lang               16    0   16     Gk Eduardo Parra          17    2   19
Sw Lewis Fortune-West     13    0   13     Df Ethan Barry            11    1   12
Df Guillaume Mallet       14    2   16     Df Charles Pearce         14    1   15
Df José Andrade           10    2   12     Df Emilio Muñoz           12    2   14
Df Joseph Moore           10    2   12     Mf Jed Lindsay            16    2   18
Mf Matty Gerrard          14    2   16     Mf Rory McLean             8    2   10
Mf Rhys Davidson          10    2   12     Mf Luca Milner            12    2   14
Mf Juan Palomo Castro     10    2   12     Mf Agostino Barbieri      12    1   13
Fw Kieran Lloyd           15    1   16     Fw Jared Hubbard          13    2   15
Fw Aleksei Novikov        14    1   15     Mf Aarron Brudenell       14    1   15
Fw Daniel Lundberg        12    2   14     Fw Scott Thomson          11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 13 40 40 45        ROSTER TOTALS      19  0 41 70 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 13 40 40 54         T O T A L S       22  0 41 70 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tom Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.68 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.09 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.43 (no red card)

Df José Andrade: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.52 (no red card)

Df Joseph Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.38 (no red card)

Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card)

Mf Juan Palomo Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.41 (no red card)

Fw Kieran Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.47 (no red card)

Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.06 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Lundberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.94 (no red card)

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 94.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.125% | Random number = 96.91 (no red card)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 65.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 29.63 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 66.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 30.38 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 56.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 56.28 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 9.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 90.54 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 58.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 76.0 (no red card)

Mf Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 51.83 (no red card)

Mf Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 18.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 2.1 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 40.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 89.53 (no red card)

Mf Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 8.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 55.95 (no red card)

Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 46.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 73.99 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Tom Lang: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 16.08 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.15 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.53 (no injury) 
Df José Andrade: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.5 (no injury) 
Df Joseph Moore: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.21 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 41.8 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Davidson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.16 (no injury) 
Mf Juan Palomo Castro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.52 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Lloyd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.34 (no injury) 
Fw Aleksei Novikov: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 65.93 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Lundberg: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.21 (no injury) 

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 19.15 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.53 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 64.68 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.5 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.32 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.5 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 12.55 (no injury) 
Mf Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 82.5 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.47 (no injury) 
Mf Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.25 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Thomson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.04 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kieran Lloyd SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jed Lindsay SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Tom Lang SL 16

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             16  13  40  40  54
  Lewes FC                 22   0  41  70  28

Lewes FC is using Offside Trap!
Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 7 (54 - 41) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((40 - 70) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 4 ((40 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df José Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df José Andrade
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Joseph Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 39.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Joseph Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 55.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Kieran Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 36.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kieran Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 79.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Kieran Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 63.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Aleksei Novikov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 41.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Daniel Lundberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 28.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kieran Lloyd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 10.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 22   0  41  70  28
  Brentford FC             16  13  40  40  54

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 40)
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 15 ((70 - 40) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 54) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 15

1: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Mf Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 2.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 82.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 9.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Rory McLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Agostino Barbieri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Jed Lindsay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Rory McLean
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRENTFORD FC 0  -  LEWES FC 2
 
Match Notes
With only two league road victories thus far we fear the worst. The four game session may warrant the B team to play hard and hope for the best here.
Dave (Lewes FC) 12/23 - 2:26 PM
 
 
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