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Tranmere Rovers
Alon Atie
 
Derby County
Rob Baptiste
 
 
Youth Cup Quarterfinals
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TRANMERE ROVERS                            DERBY COUNTY

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Archie Harewood        15    2   17     Gk Francis Carter          8    2   10
Df Chuck Garcia            8    2   10     Df William Russell         6    2    8
Df Alex Hanny              5    2    7     Df Rhys Robinson          15    2   17
Df Thomas Hale             4    2    6     Df Owen Thompson           8   -2    6
Mf Conor Conley            8    2   10     Df Noah Craig              8    2   10
Mf Koji Watanabe           6    2    8     Mf Wayne Mitchell         19    2   21
Mf Theo Barmby             4    2    6     Fw Douglas Araújo          6    2    8
Fw Afonso Ribeiro         16    1   17     Mf Joseph Lane             4    2    6
Fw Juan Manuel Castro     12    2   14     Fw Reece McGregor         15    2   17
Fw Francis Wood            8    2   10     Fw Alexander Burns         8    2   10
Fw Brian Walsh             4    2    6     Fw Jake McBrayne           4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 23 24 47        ROSTER TOTALS      10  0 41 27 41    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       5  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  5  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      22  0 23 24 47         T O T A L S       15  0 46 27 41    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no red card)

Df Chuck Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.07 (no red card)

Df Alex Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 97.22 (no red card)

Df Thomas Hale: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card)

Mf Conor Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.95 (no red card)

Mf Koji Watanabe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.62 (no red card)

Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 14.76 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.39 (no red card)

Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 67.4 (no red card)

Fw Francis Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 57.12 (no red card)

Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.39 (no red card)

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Francis Carter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.55 (no red card)

Df William Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.22 (no second yellow)

Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.77 (no red card)

Df Owen Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.77 (no red card)

Df Noah Craig: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.61 (no red card)

Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.38 (no red card)

Fw Douglas Araújo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.74 (no red card)

Mf Joseph Lane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.77 (no red card)

Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.24 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 46.32 (no red card)

Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Harewood: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 52.68 (no injury) 
Df Chuck Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.88 (no injury) 
Df Alex Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.16 (no injury) 
Df Thomas Hale: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.85 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.32 (no injury) 
Mf Koji Watanabe: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.28 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.19 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Ribeiro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.66 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Manuel Castro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.19 (no injury) 
Fw Francis Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury) 
Fw Brian Walsh: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 0
   - Tranmere Rovers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Francis Carter: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.41 (no injury) 
Df William Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.5 (no injury) 
Df Rhys Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.54 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Rhys Robinson is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Rhys Robinson new match skill level =  8
      Rhys Robinson new match total level =  10
Df Owen Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.89 (no injury) 
Df Noah Craig: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.13 (no injury) 
Mf Wayne Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.51 (no injury) 
Fw Douglas Araújo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.72 (no injury) 
Mf Joseph Lane: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.03 (no injury) 
Fw Reece McGregor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.34 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.6 (no injury) 
Fw Jake McBrayne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.7 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Afonso Ribeiro SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Francis Carter SL 8

     intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Wayne Mitchell SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Archie Harewood SL 15

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TRANMERE ROVERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tranmere Rovers          22   0  23  24  47
  Derby County             15   0  39  27  41

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Tranmere Rovers Fw Attacks = 4 (47 - 39) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tranmere Rovers Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 27) / 2;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Df Attacks = 0 ((23 - 41) / 5;  rounded up)
Tranmere Rovers Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Fw Francis Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Brian Walsh
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 48.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Afonso Ribeiro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Derby County
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             15   0  39  27  41
  Tranmere Rovers          22   0  23  24  47

Tranmere Rovers is using Offside Trap!
Derby County Fw Attacks = 9 (41 - 23) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 3 ((27 - 24) / 2)  * 2.0 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 47) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 76.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Joseph Lane
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Wayne Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 56.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Douglas Araújo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 10.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Jake McBrayne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 86.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 18.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 14.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 18.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 82.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Reece McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tranmere Rovers
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
TRANMERE ROVERS 0  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Tranmere Rovers Gk (Home): Archie Harewood SL 15

   - Derby County Gk (Away): Francis Carter SL 8

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Afonso Ribeiro (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 20 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 1  :  DER - 0)

 Round 1: Wayne Mitchell (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 1  :  DER - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Archie Harewood (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 2  :  DER - 1)

 Round 2: Reece McGregor (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 41 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 2  :  DER - 2)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Juan Manuel Castro (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 49 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 3  :  DER - 2)

 Round 3: Alexander Burns (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 30 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 3  :  DER - 3)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Chuck Garcia (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 23 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 3)

 Round 4: Francis Carter (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 10 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 4)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Francis Wood (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 69 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 4)

 Round 5: Noah Craig (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 96 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 4  :  DER - 4)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Conor Conley (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 66% | Random number = 54 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 5  :  DER - 4)

 Round 6: Owen Thompson (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 50 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 5  :  DER - 5)

************   ROUND 7    ************
 Round 7: Koji Watanabe (TRA) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 58% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (TRA - 6  :  DER - 5)

 Round 7: Rhys Robinson (DER) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 52% | Random number = 69 (PK BLOCKED!!) (TRA - 6  :  DER - 5)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TRANMERE ROVERS 0  -  DERBY COUNTY 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
TRANMERE ROVERS 6  -  DERBY COUNTY 5
 
Match Notes
Congrats, Alon. Archie was amazing in goal. Al, I did get cheated however. Why was Rhys (lvl 15) only a 52% chance of scoring?
Rob (Derby County) 09/22 - 8:03 PM
Rhys was hurt therefore he wasn't playing at full SL. Oh well.
Rob (Derby County) 10/05 - 1:19 PM
 
 
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