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Dorchester Town
Fran Morillo
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Gabriel Barker          8    2   10     Gk Billy Rooney           13    2   15
Sw James Foster           11    1   12     Sw Sean Peverell           6    2    8
Df Fabio Gentile           9    0    9     Df Gary Becker            11    0   11
Df Harrison Moore          8    1    9     Df Gabriel Johnson        10    0   10
Df Clément Delamare        6    2    8     Df Reece Hutchinson        6    2    8
Df Moritz Schmitt          8    2   10     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui       3    2    5
Df Jakob Meier             6    1    7     Mf Douglas Rodrigues      10    1   11
Mf Theo Brides             6    2    8     Mf Lewis Young             6    2    8
Mf Evan White              9    2   11     Mf Emile Bateman           3    2    5
Fw Sean Richman           10    2   12     Fw Kyle Bruce              6   -1    5
Mf Nathan McGregor         7    1    8     Fw Noah Carroll            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 12 43 27 12        ROSTER TOTALS      15  8 34 24 10    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  1  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  5  2  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 17 48 28 17         T O T A L S       15  8 34 24 10    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Gabriel Barker: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 28.65 (no red card)

Sw James Foster: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 24.07 (no red card)

Df Fabio Gentile: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 84.64 (no red card)

Df Harrison Moore: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 70.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 38.6 (no red card)

Df Clément Delamare: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 68.75 (no red card)

Df Moritz Schmitt: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 33.49 (no red card)

Df Jakob Meier: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 57.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 55.01 (no red card)

Mf Theo Brides: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 99.35 (no red card)

Mf Evan White: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 2.29 (no red card)

Fw Sean Richman: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 64.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 38.83 (no red card)

Mf Nathan McGregor: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 15.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 44.26 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.43 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.33 (no red card)

Df Gary Becker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.12 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.97 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.6 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 90.89 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.08 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.01 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.86 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.04 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Gabriel Barker: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 78.67 (no injury) 
Sw James Foster: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.53 (no injury) 
Df Fabio Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 34.44 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.4 (no injury) 
Df Clément Delamare: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.28 (no injury) 
Df Moritz Schmitt: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) 
Df Jakob Meier: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.64 (no injury) 
Mf Theo Brides: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.54 (no injury) 
Mf Evan White: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 81.7 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Richman: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.98 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Sean Richman is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Sean Richman new match skill level =  5
      Sean Richman new match total level =  7
Mf Nathan McGregor: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.97 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Billy Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 97.32 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.12 (no injury) 
Df Gary Becker: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.13 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.79 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.69 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Mf Douglas Rodrigues: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.08 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.71 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.26 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.74 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Fabio Gentile SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Billy Rooney SL 13

     intRndPk = 88
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 88 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gary Becker SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Gabriel Barker SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 71 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          12  17  48  28  12
  Carlisle United          15   8  34  24  10

Dorchester Town is Playing For A Draw!
Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 0 (12 - 34)
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 1 ((28 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 7 ((48 - 10) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Jakob Meier
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Fabio Gentile
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 28.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Fabio Gentile
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 41.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Moritz Schmitt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Harrison Moore
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Nathan McGregor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15   8  34  24  10
  Dorchester Town          12  17  48  28  12

Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (10 - 48)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 8 ((34 - 12) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Df Gary Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Gabriel Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Gary Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 19.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Gary Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Gary Becker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 15.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Gabriel Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Gabriel Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Df Reece Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 2
 
Match Notes
I think that must go down as the most unexpected win I've had in MSWL. Sorry, Fran.
Dave (Carlisle United) 04/14 - 9:53 PM
 
 
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