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Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLISLE UNITED                            WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           12    2   14     Gk Kian Trickelbank       13    2   15
Sw Sean Peverell          13    2   15     Df Harrison Porter        10    1   11
Df Reece Hutchinson       12    1   13     Df Harley Stephenson       8    1    9
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui      11    2   13     Df Cliff Palmer            6    2    8
Df Samuel Bogaerts        10    1   11     Df Fernando Lebre          6    2    8
Mf Lewis Young            13    0   13     Df Paul Compton            3    2    5
Mf Emile Bateman          10    2   12     Mf Algernon Pike          10    1   11
Fw Filippo Negri          13    1   14     Mf Sveinur Laursen         6    2    8
Fw Kyle Bruce             15    2   17     Mf Patrick Hayes           3    2    5
Fw Noah Carroll           11    2   13     Fw Amine Lhomme            6    2    8
Fw Nigel Nicholson        11    0   11     Fw Hans† Abrahamsen        3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 15 37 25 55        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 41 24 13    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  2    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  1  6  0    
=======================================================================
      14 15 37 28 64         T O T A L S       15  0 45 30 15    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 10.19 (no red card)

Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.69 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.23 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.53 (no red card)

Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.42 (no red card)

Mf Lewis Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.63 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.64 (no red card)

Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.39 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.42 (no red card)

Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.07 (no red card)

Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.11 (no red card)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 5
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.5 (no red card)

Df Harrison Porter: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 94.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 18.77 (no red card)

Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 33.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 94.64 (no red card)

Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 14.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 36.12 (no second yellow)

Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 3.32 (no red card)

Df Paul Compton: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 8.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.62% | Random number = 87.57 (no second yellow)

Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 33.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 27.37 (no red card)

Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 78.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 78.1 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Hayes: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 69.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 42.62 (no red card)

Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 88.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 24.19 (no red card)

Fw Hans† Abrahamsen: Chance of booking = 15.75% | Random number = 66.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 2.62% | Random number = 79.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your teamís hardness * .25) + (opponentís hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 6.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.12%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 3.12% | Random number = 30.68 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Peverell: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 47.25 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 15.22 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 33.31 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Bogaerts: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 91.91 (no injury) 
Mf Lewis Young: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 64.26 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 91.51 (no injury) 
Fw Filippo Negri: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 81.71 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Bruce: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 42.36 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Carroll: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 80.96 (no injury) 
Fw Nigel Nicholson: Chance of injury = 6.25% | Random number = 16.74 (no injury) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 5
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Kian Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 9.25 (no injury) 
Df Harrison Porter: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.23 (no injury) 
Df Harley Stephenson: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.43 (no injury) 
Df Cliff Palmer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Lebre: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.92 (no injury) 
Df Paul Compton: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.79 (no injury) 
Mf Algernon Pike: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 29.25 (no injury) 
Mf Sveinur Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 56.59 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Hayes: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 9.75 (no injury) 
Fw Amine Lhomme: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) 
Fw Hans† Abrahamsen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 55.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 5; (5 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kyle Bruce SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kian Trickelbank SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 61 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harrison Porter SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 12

     intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          14  15  37  28  64
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  45  30  15

Weston-super-Mare AFC is using Offside Trap!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 10 (64 - 45) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 8 ((37 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Df Reece Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 38.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Mohamed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 43.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Reece Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.41 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Reece Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 74.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Df Samuel Bogaerts
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Reece Hutchinson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Df Mohamed Cherkaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 96.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 7.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nigel Nicholson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 95.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 87.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 53.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Kyle Bruce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 21.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Noah Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 56.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Filippo Negri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Weston-super-Mare AFC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 66.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    15   0  45  30  15
  Carlisle United          14  15  37  28  64

Weston-super-Mare AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 37)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((30 - 28) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 64) / 5;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Algernon Pike
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLISLE UNITED 6  -  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0
 
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