(H)
Swansea City AFC
Roy Rolsten
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SWANSEA CITY AFC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Michel Vargas 11 0 11 Gk Dara Hays 13 2 15 Df Tony Ford 12 2 14 Sw Lewis Russell 11 -1 10 Df Lucas Stuhr 11 2 13 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 13 2 15 Df Gharib Alami 9 2 11 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Enrique Masis 7 2 9 Df Shay Finnan 9 1 10 Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene 13 2 15 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 7 2 9 Mf Jacob King 13 2 15 Mf Peter Bengtsson 13 2 15 Mf Khalid Idrissi 12 2 14 Mf Ben Ince 13 1 14 Fw Michaël Van der heijden14 1 15 Mf Jacek Frankowski 7 2 9 Fw Maximillian Hoffmann 14 -1 13 Fw Salem Bejaoui 13 1 14 Fw Ollie Hart 14 2 16 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 0 47 44 44 ROSTER TOTALS 15 10 47 38 23 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 11 0 47 44 53 T O T A L S 15 10 47 38 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.06 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.44 (no red card) Df Tony Ford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.44 (no red card) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.59 (no red card) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.02 (no red card) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.38 (no red card) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.66 (no red card) Mf Jacob King: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.41 (no red card) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.52 (no red card) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.81 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.23 (no second yellow) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card) Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.97 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.15 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.06 (no red card) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.02 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.91 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.4 (no red card) Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.51 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.6 (no second yellow) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.34 (no red card) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.56 (no red card) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.53 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.96 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.38 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.86 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Michel Vargas: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 94.02 (no injury) Df Tony Ford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.93 (no injury) Df Lucas Stuhr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.42 (no injury) Df Gharib Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.75 (no injury) Df Enrique Masis: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.63 (no injury) Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.34 (no injury) Mf Jacob King: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) Mf Khalid Idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.58 (no injury) Fw Michaël Van der heijden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.91 (no injury) Fw Maximillian Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.33 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Maximillian Hoffmann is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Maximillian Hoffmann new match skill level = 7 Maximillian Hoffmann new match total level = 6 Fw Ollie Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.04 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Swansea City AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 80.25 (no injury) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.35 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.23 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.18 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Owen Sansom is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Owen Sansom new match skill level = 6 Owen Sansom new match total level = 7 Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.64 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.11 (no injury) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.04 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Peter Bengtsson is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Peter Bengtsson new match skill level = 7 Peter Bengtsson new match total level = 9 Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.51 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.62 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.69 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.64 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michaël Van der heijden SL 14 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 51 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick) ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 13 - Defending Gk: Michel Vargas SL 11 intRndPk = 76 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SWANSEA CITY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Swansea City AFC 11 0 47 44 46 Carlisle United 15 10 41 32 23 Swansea City AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (46 - 41); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Mf Attacks = 6 ((44 - 32) / 2) ; result rounded up Swansea City AFC Df Attacks = 5 ((47 - 23) / 5); result rounded up Swansea City AFC Total Attacks = 16 1: Attack for Df Gharib Alami Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Tony Ford Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Tony Ford Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Gharib Alami Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Lucas Stuhr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Mf Ghailene Bouzaiene Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Mf Khalid Idrissi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 11: Attack for Mf Jacob King Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 54.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 23.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Ollie Hart Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Michaël Van der heijden Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 37.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 15 10 41 32 23 Swansea City AFC 11 0 47 44 46 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 47) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((32 - 44) / 2; rounded up) Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SWANSEA CITY AFC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
Hoffmann random injury keeps our physio busy
Roy (Swansea City AFC) 03/07 - 11:15 PM