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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 6
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcos Cruz            13    2   15     Gk Alonso Lopez           13    2   15
Sw Nazariy Kozak           7    2    9     Sw Jordan Bukari           3    2    5
Df Aaron MacKay           13    1   14     Df Manuel Ortiz           10    2   12
Df André Bukari           10    1   11     Df Vincent Hamidou         6    1    7
Df Stephan Johansen       10    0   10     Df Mauricio López          3    2    5
Mf Veselin Dudnyk         13    2   15     Mf Hywel Cross            11    2   13
Mf Dries Onana            11    1   12     Mf Francis Bukari          6    1    7
Mf Henrik Kristensen       6    2    8     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      3    2    5
Fw Taylor Stevenson       13    2   15     Fw Roman Radomski          6    2    8
Fw Justice Shorunmu       12    1   13     Fw Rónald Aguilera         6    2    8
Fw Ichiro Sakai            6    2    8     Fw Jamie Behich            3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  9 35 35 36        ROSTER TOTALS      15  5 24 25 21    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  9 35 35 45         T O T A L S       16  8 28 25 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 60.89 (no red card)

Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.11 (no red card)

Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.99 (no red card)

Df André Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.08 (no red card)

Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.63 (no red card)

Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.81 (no red card)

Mf Dries Onana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.78 (no red card)

Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)

Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.06 (no red card)

Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 80.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.64 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 70.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 79.98 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.58 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.35 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.18 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.6 (no second yellow)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.96 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.13 (no second yellow)

Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.58 (no red card)

Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.95 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.67 (no second yellow)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.38 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.47 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.78 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.28 (no second yellow)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcos Cruz: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 39.66 (no injury) 
Sw Nazariy Kozak: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 48.57 (no injury) 
Df Aaron MacKay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.91 (no injury) 
Df André Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.45 (no injury) 
Df Stephan Johansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.69 (no injury) 
Mf Veselin Dudnyk: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.18 (no injury) 
Mf Dries Onana: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no injury) 
Mf Henrik Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.2 (no injury) 
Fw Taylor Stevenson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 98.34 (no injury) 
Fw Justice Shorunmu: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.59 (no injury) 
Fw Ichiro Sakai: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.96 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 93.93 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 85.01 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 96.29 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 97.93 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.94 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 43.12 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.93 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.24 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.98 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.36 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 46.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aaron MacKay SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hywel Cross SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Marcos Cruz SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 16   9  35  35  45
  Southend United          16   8  28  25  21

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 17 (45 - 28); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((35 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 27

1: Attack for Df André Bukari
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Stephan Johansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Aaron MacKay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 63.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Dries Onana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 78.07 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Mf Henrik Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 90.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Mf Dries Onana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Dries Onana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Dries Onana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 49.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 56.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 15.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 43.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Ichiro Sakai
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 47 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 12.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 46.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 74.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Justice Shorunmu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Taylor Stevenson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16   8  28  25  21
  Lewes FC                 16   9  35  35  45

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 35)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 45) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Another struggle in the top division….just don’t have enough fire power
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/17 - 1:40 PM
Firing all cylinders tonight Dave
Colin (Southend United) 02/18 - 3:16 AM
First league win against the backups….we will take it
Dave (Lewes FC) 02/18 - 4:11 PM
 
 
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