Session 10 orders deadline in 30 hours and 45 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, March 29th, 2024 - 11:14:30 AM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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UNITED!
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Southend United
Colin Scott
 
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 5
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SOUTHEND UNITED                            NOTTINGHAM FOREST

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez           13    2   15     Gk Kurt Östman             7    1    8
Sw Glen Clarke            13    2   15     Df Hernán Mejias           6    0    6
Df Kenzie Fraser          13    2   15     Sw Thiago Boniek           3    2    5
Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15     Df Manuel Barnetta         9    2   11
Df Vincent Hamidou         6    1    7     Df Martin Persson          3    2    5
Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14     Mf Antonee Coffman         8    2   10
Mf Hywel Cross            11    2   13     Mf Johnny Rieder           6    2    8
Fw Kenzie McDonald        13    2   15     Mf Noah Martinez           3    2    5
Fw Seny Sonko             11    2   13     Mf William Duffy           7    1    8
Fw Cássio Lemos           11    1   12     Fw Paul Dumont             7    2    9
Fw Rónald Aguilera         6    2    8     Fw Atef Omar               3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 37 27 48        ROSTER TOTALS       8  5 22 31 14    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 37 27 57         T O T A L S        8  8 26 31 14    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 13.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 80.72 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.91 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.45 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.29 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.34 (no second yellow)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.89 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.74 (no red card)

Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.51 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.37 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.86 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.79 (no red card)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.99 (no red card)

Df Hernán Mejias: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.88 (no red card)

Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.59 (no second yellow)

Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.36 (no red card)

Df Martin Persson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.42 (no red card)

Mf Antonee Coffman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.12 (no red card)

Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.41 (no red card)

Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no red card)

Mf William Duffy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.73 (no red card)

Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.92 (no red card)

Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.14 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 91.42 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 76.69 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.03 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.84 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 53.0 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.46 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.94 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.98 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.15 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no injury) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 25.41 (no injury) 
Df Hernán Mejias: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.43 (no injury) 
Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.64 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Barnetta: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.94 (no injury) 
Df Martin Persson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury) 
Mf Antonee Coffman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 80.19 (no injury) 
Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.07 (no injury) 
Mf William Duffy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.95 (no injury) 
Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.08 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 7

     intRndPk = 60
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Barnetta SL 9
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16  15  37  27  57
  Nottingham Forest        8   8  26  31  14

Southend United Fw Attacks = 31 (57 - 26); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 8 ((37 - 14) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 39

1: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 24.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 81.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 55.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 52.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 42.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 19.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 50.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 87.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 79.82 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 74.01 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
32: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
34: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
35: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
36: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
37: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
38: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
39: Attack for Fw Rónald Aguilera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Nottingham Forest        8   8  26  31  14
  Southend United          16  15  37  27  57

Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw!
Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (14 - 37)
Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 1 ((31 - 27) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 57) / 3;  rounded up)
Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf William Duffy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 26.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SOUTHEND UNITED 4  -  NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
 
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