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Tuesday, April 16th, 2024 - 09:44:35 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Coventry City
Non League II
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

COVENTRY CITY                              SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kieran Webb            11    0   11     Gk Alonso Lopez           13    2   15
Df Roberto Mora            9   -1    8     Sw Glen Clarke            13    2   15
Df Frank Ostrander         8   -1    7     Df Kenzie Fraser          13    2   15
Df Samuel Alnoudji         8    2   10     Df Manuel Ortiz           10    2   12
Mf Ramiro Murillo         13   -1   12     Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15
Mf Martin Gil             11   -1   10     Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14
Mf Raphael Moshe           7    0    7     Mf Nico Schär             10    2   12
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk         6    2    8     Mf Emil Kristoffersen     10    2   12
Mf Adam Crowley            4    2    6     Fw Kenzie McDonald        13    2   15
Fw Conor Farrell          11   -1   10     Fw Seny Sonko             11    2   13
Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko     10   -1    9     Fw Cássio Lemos           11    1   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  0 25 43 19        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 42 38 40    
       1  1  0  0  1          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  1 28 45 22         T O T A L S       18 15 42 38 40    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kieran Webb: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 16.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 53.87 (no red card)

Df Roberto Mora: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 80.76 (no red card)

Df Frank Ostrander: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 69.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 26.66 (no red card)

Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.35 (no red card)

Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 33.78 (no red card)

Mf Martin Gil: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no red card)

Mf Raphael Moshe: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.12 (no second yellow)

Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 86.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.22 (no red card)

Mf Adam Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 56.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 40.54 (no red card)

Fw Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 91.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 68.82 (no red card)

Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 18.28 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 19.64 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.08 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.8 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.3 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.88 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.36 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 66.67 (no red card)

Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.17 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.63 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.01 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 3
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Kieran Webb: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 95.77 (no injury) 
Df Roberto Mora: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.16 (no injury) 
Df Frank Ostrander: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 59.85 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.66 (no injury) 
Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.19 (no injury) 
Mf Martin Gil: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 21.29 (no injury) 
Mf Raphael Moshe: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.11 (no injury) 
Mf Dragoljub Bylyk: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.3 (no injury) 
Mf Adam Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.11 (no injury) 
Fw Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) 
Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 57.16 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Coventry City Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.42 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 96.98 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 94.18 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 47.17 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 81.53 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 66.38 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.14 (no injury) 
Mf Emil Kristoffersen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 58.38 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 17.75 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.57 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ramiro Murillo SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick)

*******  COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kenzie Fraser SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Kieran Webb SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Coventry City            12   0  28  45  22
  Southend United          18  15  42  38  40

Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (22 - 42)
Coventry City Mf Attacks = 4 ((45 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Coventry City Df Attacks = 0 ((28 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Coventry City Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Adam Crowley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Raphael Moshe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Raphael Moshe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Ramiro Murillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          18  15  42  38  40
  Coventry City            12   0  28  45  22

Southend United Fw Attacks = 12 (40 - 28); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 45) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 7 ((42 - 22) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 21.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Archie Rowe
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 22.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Df Kenzie Fraser
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 50.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 6.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 34.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Fw Cássio Lemos
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 91.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 28.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Seny Sonko
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Coventry City
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
COVENTRY CITY 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 4
 
Match Notes
Maybe Coventry can upset the form
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/17 - 8:11 PM
 
 
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