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Blyth Spartans AFC
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Queens Park Rangers
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FA Shield Round 1
 
 
 
 

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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BLYTH SPARTANS AFC                         QUEENS PARK RANGERS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Paolo Mancini          11    0   11     Gk Toby Barmby            15    2   17
Sw Roger Wheeler           8    0    8     Sw Ji-An Sang-chul         8    2   10
Df Adam Smith             11   -1   10     Df Joaquin  Mora          10    2   12
Df Hassen Mkademi         10   -1    9     Df Kurt Mörner             6    1    7
Df Jorge Figo              9    1   10     Mf Dennis Lindsay         10    2   12
Df Jack Brady              8   -1    7     Mf Darrell Sinclair        6    2    8
Mf Reece Morrissey        11   -1   10     Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           3    2    5
Mf Lars Depay              9   -1    8     Fw Fabian Weber           13    1   14
Mf Jamal Dirar             9    2   11     Fw Paul Chaffersey        14    0   14
Fw Oscar Montero          10   -1    9     Fw Nikica Butina           8    2   10
Fw Aaron White             9    1   10     Fw Raul Duarte             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      11  8 36 29 19        ROSTER TOTALS      17 10 19 25 46    
       1  0  1  0  1          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  3  2  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12  8 40 31 22         T O T A L S       17 10 19 25 46    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Paolo Mancini: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 19.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 49.4 (no red card)

Sw Roger Wheeler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 41.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 27.95 (no red card)

Df Adam Smith: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 80.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 51.15 (no red card)

Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.94 (no red card)

Df Jorge Figo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.49 (no red card)

Df Jack Brady: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 44.7 (no red card)

Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 59.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 81.25 (no red card)

Mf Lars Depay: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 35.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.6 (no red card)

Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 77.01 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Montero: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.15 (no red card)

Fw Aaron White: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 68.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.64 (no red card)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.16 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.04 (no red card)

Df Joaquin  Mora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.76 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.9 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.92 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.16 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.53 (no red card)

Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.97 (no red card)

Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.8 (no red card)

Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.34 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.41 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Paolo Mancini: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 1.01 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Paolo Mancini is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Sw Roger Wheeler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.36 (no injury) 
Df Adam Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 93.49 (no injury) 
Df Hassen Mkademi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.65 (no injury) 
Df Jorge Figo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.53 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Jorge Figo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Jorge Figo new match skill level =  5
      Jorge Figo new match total level =  6
Df Jack Brady: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.24 (no injury) 
Mf Reece Morrissey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.08 (no injury) 
Mf Lars Depay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.09 (no injury) 
Mf Jamal Dirar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.43 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Montero: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.98 (no injury) 
Fw Aaron White: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.5 (no injury) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Blyth Spartans AFC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 14.46 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 49.59 (no injury) 
Df Joaquin  Mora: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 77.24 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.19 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 6.26 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no injury) 
Fw Fabian Weber: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.75 (no injury) 
Fw Paul Chaffersey: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.01 (no injury) 
Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 39.4 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.07 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Adam Smith SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 15

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Paul Chaffersey SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Paolo Mancini SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 40 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BLYTH SPARTANS AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Blyth Spartans AFC       12   8  36  31  22
  Queens Park Rangers      17  10  19  25  46

Blyth Spartans AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (22 - 19); result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up
Blyth Spartans AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 46) / 3;  rounded up)
Blyth Spartans AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Reece Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Reece Morrissey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Lars Depay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Oscar Montero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Aaron White
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Montero
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      17  10  19  25  46
  Blyth Spartans AFC       12   8  36  31  22

Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 10 (46 - 36); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 0 ((19 - 22) / 3;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 9.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fabian Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Paul Chaffersey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nikica Butina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Raul Duarte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BLYTH SPARTANS AFC 1  -  QUEENS PARK RANGERS 0
 
Match Notes
you never know when Blyth might spring an upset, but historically QPR have the better of them.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/10 - 3:24 PM
Don't let me down here Dr. White. I need you to win!!
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/10 - 5:47 PM
 
 
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