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ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Sheffield United
Paul Cockayne
 
Preston North End FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEFFIELD UNITED                           PRESTON NORTH END FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Lauro Sampaoli          5    2    7     Gk Anton Rogic            13    0   13
Sw Joachim Thygesen        2    2    4     Sw Ilija Livaja           12    0   12
Df Alistair Bates         11    0   11     Df Roger Owen              9    0    9
Df Nico Möller             7    0    7     Df Abdul Otu               5    2    7
Df Ciro Bielsa             9    0    9     Mf Angus McKay            13    0   13
Df Rodrigo Nunez           8    0    8     Mf Arthur Goodwin          2    2    4
Mf Elliot Tufnel           7    0    7     Fw Quique Diez            14    0   14
Mf Raúl Lozano             5    2    7     Fw Owen Bennett           16    0   16
Fw Lilian Mendy            9    0    9     Fw Eduardo Luna            5    2    7
Mf Aaron Cameron           5    0    5     Fw Heorhiy Kozak           5    2    7
Fw Jonas Kimmich           5    2    7     Fw Raphaël Mayeux          2    2    4

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7  4 35 19 16        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 16 17 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  4  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7  7 39 19 16         T O T A L S       13 12 16 17 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Lauro Sampaoli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.71 (no red card)

Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.54 (no red card)

Df Alistair Bates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.24 (no red card)

Df Nico Möller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.05 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.51 (no second yellow)

Df Ciro Bielsa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.94 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo Nunez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)

Mf Elliot Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.21 (no red card)

Mf Raúl Lozano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.54 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Mendy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.47 (no red card)

Mf Aaron Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.38 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.98 (no red card)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.33 (no red card)

Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.07 (no red card)

Df Roger Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.75 (no red card)

Df Abdul Otu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.15 (no red card)

Mf Angus McKay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.16 (no red card)

Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.05 (no red card)

Fw Quique Diez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.04 (no red card)

Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.8 (no red card)

Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.51 (no red card)

Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.55 (no red card)

Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.44 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.32 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Lauro Sampaoli: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 11.74 (no injury) 
Sw Joachim Thygesen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.33 (no injury) 
Df Alistair Bates: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.54 (no injury) 
Df Nico Möller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.81 (no injury) 
Df Ciro Bielsa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo Nunez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.86 (no injury) 
Mf Elliot Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.15 (no injury) 
Mf Raúl Lozano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.37 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Mendy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.87 (no injury) 
Mf Aaron Cameron: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.31 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Kimmich: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Preston North End FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Sheffield United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Anton Rogic: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 79.89 (no injury) 
Sw Ilija Livaja: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) 
Df Roger Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.52 (no injury) 
Df Abdul Otu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.94 (no injury) 
Mf Angus McKay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.15 (no injury) 
Mf Arthur Goodwin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.2 (no injury) 
Fw Quique Diez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.71 (no injury) 
Fw Owen Bennett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.36 (no injury) 
Fw Eduardo Luna: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.65 (no injury) 
Fw Heorhiy Kozak: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.3 (no injury) 
Fw Raphaël Mayeux: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.53 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alistair Bates SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Anton Rogic SL 13

     intRndPk = 70
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Owen Bennett SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Lauro Sampaoli SL 5

     intRndPk = 36
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEFFIELD UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Sheffield United         7   7  39  19  16
  Preston North End FC     13  12  16  17  48

Sheffield United is Playing For A Draw!
Sheffield United Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 16)
Sheffield United Mf Attacks = 1 ((19 - 17) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Sheffield United Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Sheffield United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Raúl Lozano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 67.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  PRESTON NORTH END FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Preston North End FC     13  12  16  17  48
  Sheffield United         7   7  39  19  16

Preston North End FC Fw Attacks = 9 (48 - 39); result rounded up
Preston North End FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((17 - 19) / 2;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Df Attacks = 0 ((16 - 16) / 3;  rounded up)
Preston North End FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Raphaël Mayeux
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 68.04 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Quique Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 43.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Eduardo Luna
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Owen Bennett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEFFIELD UNITED 0  -  PRESTON NORTH END FC 1
 
Match Notes
Underdogs here, for sure
Paul (Sheffield United) 01/24 - 7:19 PM
Was always going to be tough...
Paul (Sheffield United) 01/27 - 8:00 PM
 
 
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