(N)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Watford
James Tucker
AP Cup Group (2)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CREWE ALEXANDRA FC WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Joshua Samed 12 0 12 Gk Sebastian Ruiz 12 0 12 Sw John Taylor 11 0 11 Sw Luca Werner 10 0 10 Df Gabriel Lind 13 0 13 Df Felipe Pérez 10 0 10 Df Osvaldo Raphinha 11 0 11 Df Victor Bach 5 2 7 Df Santiago Castillo 10 0 10 Df Walter McGree 2 2 4 Mf Thomas Robinson 13 0 13 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 0 13 Mf Ian Tejeda 10 0 10 Mf Issa Eyenga 9 0 9 Mf Stefan Boniek 5 2 7 Mf Eduardo Da silva 5 2 7 Fw Damien Sanchez 15 0 15 Mf Federico Machado 2 2 4 Fw Ryu Haraguchi 10 0 10 Fw Kai McDonald 10 0 10 Fw Elias Schmidt 10 0 10 Fw Edgar Jimenez 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 11 34 30 35 ROSTER TOTALS 12 10 21 33 17 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 11 34 30 35 T O T A L S 12 10 29 33 17 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.97 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.81 (no red card) Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card) Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card) Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.46 (no red card) Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.15 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.4 (no red card) Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.78 (no red card) Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.12 (no red card) Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.52 (no red card) Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.92 (no red card) Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.12 (no red card) Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.9 (no red card) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.24 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.07 (no red card) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.49 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.0 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.1 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.61 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card) Mf Issa Eyenga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.61 (no red card) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.93 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.27 (no red card) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.09 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.81 (no second yellow) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.22 (no injury) Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury) Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.18 (no injury) Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.57 (no injury) Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.53 (no injury) Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.85 (no injury) Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.1 (no injury) Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.32 (no injury) Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.2 (no injury) Mf Issa Eyenga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no injury) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.24 (no injury) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 15 - Defending Gk: Sebastian Ruiz SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick) ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Hirving Borgetti SL 13 - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12 intRndPk = 8 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Crewe Alexandra FC 12 11 34 30 35 Watford 12 10 29 33 17 Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 6 (35 - 29); result rounded up Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 2; rounded up) Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 6 ((34 - 17) / 3); result rounded up Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 12 10 29 33 17 Crewe Alexandra FC 12 11 34 30 35 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 34) Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 35) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Federico Machado Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2 - WATFORD 0
Match Notes
BIG game for both sides
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/22 - 9:24 AM
Well that’s a very important AP win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/28 - 11:53 AM