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Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
AP Cup Group (2)
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CREWE ALEXANDRA FC                         WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Joshua Samed           12    0   12     Gk Sebastian Ruiz         12    0   12
Sw John Taylor            11    0   11     Sw Luca Werner            10    0   10
Df Gabriel Lind           13    0   13     Df Felipe Pérez           10    0   10
Df Osvaldo Raphinha       11    0   11     Df Victor Bach             5    2    7
Df Santiago Castillo      10    0   10     Df Walter McGree           2    2    4
Mf Thomas Robinson        13    0   13     Mf Hirving Borgetti       13    0   13
Mf Ian Tejeda             10    0   10     Mf Issa Eyenga             9    0    9
Mf Stefan Boniek           5    2    7     Mf Eduardo Da silva        5    2    7
Fw Damien Sanchez         15    0   15     Mf Federico Machado        2    2    4
Fw Ryu Haraguchi          10    0   10     Fw Kai McDonald           10    0   10
Fw Elias Schmidt          10    0   10     Fw Edgar Jimenez           5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 11 34 30 35        ROSTER TOTALS      12 10 21 33 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 11 34 30 35         T O T A L S       12 10 29 33 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.81 (no red card)

Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.23 (no red card)

Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.78 (no red card)

Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.46 (no red card)

Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.4 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.78 (no red card)

Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.12 (no red card)

Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.52 (no red card)

Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.92 (no red card)

Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.12 (no red card)

Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.9 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 36.07 (no red card)

Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.49 (no red card)

Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 61.0 (no red card)

Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.1 (no red card)

Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.61 (no red card)

Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.48 (no red card)

Mf Issa Eyenga: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.61 (no red card)

Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.93 (no red card)

Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.27 (no red card)

Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.09 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.81 (no second yellow)

Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 77.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.22 (no injury) 
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.32 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.18 (no injury) 
Df Osvaldo Raphinha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.57 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.53 (no injury) 
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.85 (no injury) 
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.1 (no injury) 
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.32 (no injury) 
Fw Elias Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.0 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 1
   - Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 62.39 (no injury) 
Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.02 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 74.87 (no injury) 
Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.52 (no injury) 
Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.26 (no injury) 
Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 23.2 (no injury) 
Mf Issa Eyenga: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury) 
Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.93 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.24 (no injury) 
Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.13 (no injury) 
Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Damien Sanchez SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Sebastian Ruiz SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hirving Borgetti SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 12

     intRndPk = 8
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 8 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  11  34  30  35
  Watford                  12  10  29  33  17

Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 6 (35 - 29); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 6 ((34 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 43.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Osvaldo Raphinha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Santiago Castillo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Gabriel Lind
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 98.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Elias Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 2.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 7.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 1.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  12  10  29  33  17
  Crewe Alexandra FC       12  11  34  30  35

Watford is Playing For A Draw!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 34)
Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((33 - 30) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 35) / 3;  rounded up)
Watford Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Federico Machado
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 2  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
BIG game for both sides
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/22 - 9:24 AM
Well that’s a very important AP win
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 01/28 - 11:53 AM
 
 
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