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Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
 
Hereford United FC
Alex Tucker
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DERBY COUNTY                               HEREFORD UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Fernando Pellistri     14    2   16     Gk Mauricio Higuain        5    2    7
Df Carrington Phillips    11    1   12     Sw Victor Cruz             5    2    7
Df Rodrigo de Corona       9    2   11     Df Tyler Long              6    2    8
Mf Peder Petersen         16    0   16     Df Hans LecLercq           6    2    8
Mf William Gomez           9    2   11     Df Alan Cole               5    2    7
Mf Glen Fortune-West       7    1    8     Mf Nasiru Kabiru           8    2   10
Mf Jay Mitchell           13    0   13     Mf Roberto Romo            6    2    8
Mf Reimundo Almada        12    1   13     Mf Benito Apuzzo           6    2    8
Mf Mohamed Torres          9    0    9     Fw Manuel Benaglio        10    2   12
Fw Rogério Guimarães      10    0   10     Fw Kaj Jensen              5    2    7
Fw Ramzi Sellimi           5    2    7     Fw Lukasz Dudka            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16  0 23 70 17        ROSTER TOTALS       7  7 23 26 26    
       0  0  2  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  1  7  1       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  8  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  3  3  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16  0 26 77 26         T O T A L S       10 10 26 26 26    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.69 (no red card)

Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 37.26 (no red card)

Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.34 (no red card)

Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.11 (no red card)

Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.72 (no red card)

Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 60.64 (no red card)

Mf Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.42 (no red card)

Mf Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.17 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Torres: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.53 (no red card)

Fw Rogério Guimarães: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 56.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.91 (no red card)

Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 57.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.46 (no red card)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 60.1 (no red card)

Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.92 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.79 (no second yellow)

Df Tyler Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.27 (no red card)

Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.14 (no red card)

Df Alan Cole: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.16 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.18 (no second yellow)

Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.34 (no red card)

Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.05 (no red card)

Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.43 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.4 (no second yellow)

Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.65 (no red card)

Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card)

Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 63.15 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.51 (no injury) 
Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 17.97 (no injury) 
Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.59 (no injury) 
Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.93 (no injury) 
Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.01 (no injury) 
Mf Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.07 (no injury) 
Mf Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.24 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Torres: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.85 (no injury) 
Fw Rogério Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.49 (no injury) 
Fw Ramzi Sellimi: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Hereford United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Derby County Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Mauricio Higuain: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 38.91 (no injury) 
Sw Victor Cruz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.84 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Long: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.27 (no injury) 
Df Hans LecLercq: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 11.08 (no injury) 
Df Alan Cole: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.39 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Alan Cole is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alan Cole new match skill level =  3
      Alan Cole new match total level =  5
Mf Nasiru Kabiru: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 91.11 (no injury) 
Mf Roberto Romo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.2 (no injury) 
Mf Benito Apuzzo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.27 (no injury) 
Fw Manuel Benaglio: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 33.62 (no injury) 
Fw Kaj Jensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 53.85 (no injury) 
Fw Lukasz Dudka: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Mauricio Higuain SL 5

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Manuel Benaglio SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 62% | Random number = 76 (pk blocked)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Derby County             16   0  26  77  26
  Hereford United FC       10  10  24  26  26

Derby County Fw Attacks = 2 (26 - 24); result rounded up
Derby County Mf Attacks = 26 ((77 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 26) / 5;  rounded up)
Derby County Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 41.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 5.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Mf Glen Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Mf Glen Fortune-West
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Mohamed Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 45.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 27.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Reimundo Almada
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 6.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Jay Mitchell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 93.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 94.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Mf Peder Petersen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Mf William Gomez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 40.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Mf Mohamed Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HEREFORD UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Hereford United FC       10  10  24  26  26
  Derby County             16   0  26  77  26

Derby County is using Offside Trap!
Hereford United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (26 - 26)
Hereford United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 77) / 2;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 26) / 3;  rounded up)
Hereford United FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DERBY COUNTY 2  -  HEREFORD UNITED FC 0
 
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