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Dorchester Town
Andy Shaw
 
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DORCHESTER TOWN                            PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Jonas Lien             16    2   18     Gk Finlay Palmer          16    2   18
Sw Esteban Martin          9    2   11     Sw Bryn Gough             10    2   12
Df Jonathan Acosta        15    2   17     Df Bassirou Mbaye         15    2   17
Df Benedicto Montiel      14    2   16     Df John MacDonald         13    0   13
Df Andre Ngwa              5    2    7     Df Joei Ikedia            12    2   14
Mf Ivan Vida              15    2   17     Mf Tatsuo Itakura         15    1   16
Mf Harrison Harewood      13    2   15     Mf Daniel Kelly           13    2   15
Mf Bertus De leeuw         9    2   11     Fw Syam Arfaoui           15    2   17
Fw Boris Rudenko          15    2   17     Fw Charles Sweeney        15    1   16
Fw Angelo Bruno           13    2   15     Fw Nenad Kovtun           14    2   16
Fw Torben Thygesen         9    2   11     Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 40 43 43        ROSTER TOTALS      18 12 44 31 65    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  3  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 14 40 47 48         T O T A L S       21 12 44 31 65    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 12.96 (no red card)

Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 97.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 31.74 (no red card)

Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 4.97 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.26 (no second yellow)

Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.21 (no red card)

Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.62 (no red card)

Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 23.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 79.86 (no red card)

Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 13.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 56.91 (no red card)

Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 83.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.99 (no red card)

Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.98 (no red card)

Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.68 (no red card)

Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.17 (no red card)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.47 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.74 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.28 (no red card)

Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.25 (no red card)

Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.21 (no second yellow)

Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.45 (no red card)

Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.12 (no red card)

Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.35 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.39 (no second yellow)

Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.14 (no red card)

Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.2 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.7 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 6.75 (no injury) 
Sw Esteban Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 55.25 (no injury) 
Df Jonathan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 53.18 (no injury) 
Df Benedicto Montiel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 75.17 (no injury) 
Df Andre Ngwa: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 41.68 (no injury) 
Mf Ivan Vida: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.74 (no injury) 
Mf Harrison Harewood: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.41 (no injury) 
Mf Bertus De leeuw: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 97.85 (no injury) 
Fw Boris Rudenko: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Fw Angelo Bruno: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 52.71 (no injury) 
Fw Torben Thygesen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.3 (no injury) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Dorchester Town Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 89.34 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.03 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.91 (no injury) 
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.63 (no injury) 
Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.87 (no injury) 
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury) 
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) 
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 29.33 (no injury) 
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.04 (no injury) 
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.3 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.24 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonathan Acosta SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16

     intRndPk = 87
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Jonas Lien SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DORCHESTER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Dorchester Town          20  14  40  47  48
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  12  44  31  65

Dorchester Town Fw Attacks = 4 (48 - 44); result rounded up
Dorchester Town Mf Attacks = 8 ((47 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Dorchester Town Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Dorchester Town Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 30.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 34.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Ivan Vida
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Bertus De leeuw
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Harrison Harewood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 40.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Torben Thygesen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Angelo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       21  12  44  31  65
  Dorchester Town          20  14  40  47  48

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 25 (65 - 40); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 47) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.32 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 22.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 45.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 95.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
22: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DORCHESTER TOWN 0  -  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 3
 
Match Notes
We need to beat Plymouth who are top to have a chance to stay up.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/29 - 8:43 PM
Plymouth may be top, but with a -1 GD, we could easily fall down to 5th or 6th with a bad session. We need as many points as we can get.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/30 - 2:53 PM
Well that was a total disaster. Well done Rob on a great season.
Andy (Dorchester Town) 03/31 - 7:07 PM
We needed points. This was a great start to the final session!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 04/01 - 4:59 PM
 
 
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