(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CARLISLE UNITED Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Thomas Anderson 15 2 17 Gk Xavier Lambert 9 2 11 Sw Mitsuo Soma 14 2 16 Sw Lewis Russell 11 -1 10 Df Mohammed Cherkaoui 13 2 15 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16 Df Mamoru Morishima 10 2 12 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Mf Jürg Elvedi 12 1 13 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 9 2 11 Mf Božo Rebic 10 2 12 Mf Peter Bengtsson 15 2 17 Mf Kristijan Karacic 9 2 11 Mf Duško Kolomyets 13 2 15 Fw Curtis Carr 16 2 18 Mf Jacek Frankowski 9 2 11 Fw Heorhiy Kozlov 14 1 15 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16 Fw Rik Schipper 14 1 15 Mf Noah Zimmermann 14 2 16 Fw Marouane Peeters 9 2 11 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 16 27 36 59 ROSTER TOTALS 11 10 40 59 27 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 16 27 36 68 T O T A L S 14 10 47 59 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.28 (no red card) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.89 (no red card) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.31 (no red card) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.13 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.16 (no second yellow) Mf Jürg Elvedi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.64 (no red card) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.4 (no red card) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.45 (no red card) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.23 (no red card) Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.17 (no red card) Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.67 (no red card) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.09 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.54 (no red card) ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.06 (no red card) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.46 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.17 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.74 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.62 (no red card) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.46 (no red card) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.74 (no red card) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.22 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.1 (no red card) Mf Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.79 (no red card) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.63 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 64.7 (no injury) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.29 (no injury) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.04 (no injury) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) Mf Jürg Elvedi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.98 (no injury) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.5 (no injury) Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.0 (no injury) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.85 (no injury) Fw Heorhiy Kozlov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.41 (no injury) Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.81 (no injury) Fw Marouane Peeters: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.11 (no injury) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Xavier Lambert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 59.23 (no injury) Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.06 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Lewis Russell is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Lewis Russell new match skill level = 6 Lewis Russell new match total level = 5 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 51.49 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.78 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.3 (no injury) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.23 (no injury) Mf Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.8 (no injury) Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.11 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.69 (no injury) Mf Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.02 (no injury) Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.92 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 16 - Defending Gk: Xavier Lambert SL 9 intRndPk = 52 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 15 - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 15 intRndPk = 65 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Oldham Athletic AFC 17 16 27 36 68 Carlisle United 14 5 47 59 27 Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (68 - 47); result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 59) / 2; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 27) / 3; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 21 1: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 0.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 10.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 9.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 84.71 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 34.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Marouane Peeters Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 98.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Heorhiy Kozlov Chance of Sw stopping attack = 40% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 14 5 47 59 27 Oldham Athletic AFC 17 16 27 36 68 Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw! Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 27) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 6 ((59 - 36) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 68) / 3; rounded up) Carlisle United Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Mf Duško Kolomyets Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 7.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Duško Kolomyets Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Noah Zimmermann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 3 - CARLISLE UNITED 0
Match Notes
An important home game against the league leaders. We need to get a good result out of it
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/23 - 7:53 AM
Hopefully the suspended SW won't affect us too much.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/23 - 11:45 AM
A good victory for the lads. Or must I say Latics :).
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/30 - 9:54 AM