(H)
Bristol City FC
Roger Mendonça
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRISTOL CITY FC NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alberto Flores 15 2 17 Gk Kurt Östman 9 2 11 Sw Reece Gregory 16 2 18 Sw Thiago Boniek 5 2 7 Df Mario Rojas 15 2 17 Df Laurence Clarke 15 2 17 Df Cadwaladr Lewis 9 2 11 Df Pathé Sané 14 2 16 Mf Steven Simons 15 1 16 Df Dalmacio Ansaldi 10 2 12 Mf Isaac Semenyo 9 2 11 Df Kazimierz Szczesny 8 1 9 Fw Armand Songo'o 15 2 17 Mf Freddie Cockham 14 2 16 Fw John Jackson 12 2 14 Mf Johnny Rieder 8 2 10 Fw Bryan Deshayes 14 2 16 Mf Noah Martinez 5 2 7 Fw Ulf Helander 5 2 7 Fw Paul Dumont 9 2 11 Fw Hwangbo Min-sung 5 2 7 Fw Atef Omar 5 2 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 18 28 27 61 ROSTER TOTALS 11 7 54 33 18 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 18 28 27 70 T O T A L S 11 10 58 33 18 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.07 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 72.16 (no red card) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.99 (no red card) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.28 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.68 (no second yellow) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.49 (no red card) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.02 (no red card) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.63 (no red card) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.65 (no red card) Fw John Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.26 (no red card) Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 60.45 (no red card) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.84 (no red card) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 75.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.26 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.04 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.68 (no red card) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.06 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.62 (no red card) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.78 (no red card) Df Dalmacio Ansaldi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.64 (no red card) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.66 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.62 (no red card) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.48 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.14 (no second yellow) Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.6 (no red card) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.47 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Alberto Flores: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 59.52 (no injury) Sw Reece Gregory: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.97 (no injury) Df Mario Rojas: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.66 (no injury) Df Cadwaladr Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no injury) Mf Steven Simons: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.67 (no injury) Mf Isaac Semenyo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.58 (no injury) Fw Armand Songo'o: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no injury) Fw John Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.49 (no injury) Fw Bryan Deshayes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.62 (no injury) Fw Ulf Helander: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.78 (no injury) Fw Hwangbo Min-sung: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.88 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Bristol City FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Kurt Östman: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 44.59 (no injury) Sw Thiago Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.41 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.47 (no injury) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) Df Dalmacio Ansaldi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.04 (no injury) Df Kazimierz Szczesny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.19 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.74 (no injury) Mf Johnny Rieder: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.6 (no injury) Mf Noah Martinez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.59 (no injury) Fw Paul Dumont: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 79.5 (no injury) Fw Atef Omar: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.12 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Atef Omar is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Atef Omar new match skill level = 3 Atef Omar new match total level = 5 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Mario Rojas SL 15 - Defending Gk: Kurt Östman SL 9 intRndPk = 67 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ******* BRISTOL CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Laurence Clarke SL 15 - Defending Gk: Alberto Flores SL 15 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRISTOL CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bristol City FC 18 18 28 27 70 Nottingham Forest 11 10 58 33 16 Bristol City FC Fw Attacks = 12 (70 - 58); result rounded up Bristol City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 33) / 2; rounded up) Bristol City FC Df Attacks = 4 ((28 - 16) / 3); result rounded up Bristol City FC Total Attacks = 16 1: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Mario Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Cadwaladr Lewis Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Mario Rojas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 80.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Hwangbo Min-sung Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw John Jackson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 14.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Ulf Helander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Bryan Deshayes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Armand Songo'o Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 11 10 58 33 16 Bristol City FC 18 18 28 27 70 Nottingham Forest is Playing For A Draw! Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 28) Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((33 - 27) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((58 - 70) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 2 1: Attack for Mf Johnny Rieder Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRISTOL CITY FC 3 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 0
Match Notes
Not the game you want when it's a must win.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/17 - 9:06 AM
Nine points from your last three games should be enough for you Steve
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/17 - 10:02 AM
Very funny, Roger. We'll be lucky to get 6 with having to play Youth.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 03/23 - 9:26 AM
Unlucky Steve, on another day that’s a 0-0 draw
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/23 - 8:51 PM