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MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 03:47:42 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        16    2   18     Gk Dara Hays              13    2   15
Df Jeff Stewart           15    0   15     Sw Lewis Russell          11   -1   10
Df Robert Harrison        13    0   13     Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck   15    1   16
Df Sam Wood               10    2   12     Df Owen Sansom            12    1   13
Df Edilberto Moreno        9    2   11     Df Shay Finnan             9    1   10
Mf Jonatan López          13    1   14     Mf Peter Bengtsson        14    2   16
Mf Erik Weber             13    0   13     Mf Ben Ince               13    1   14
Fw Gabriel Bacca          20    1   21     Df Duško Kolomyets        11    2   13
Fw Alfonso Mesén          12    1   13     Mf Jacek Frankowski        8    2   10
Fw Francisco Viana        10    2   12     Fw Salem Bejaoui          14    1   15
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho     9    2   11     Fw Takeshi Fukunishi       8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 51 27 57        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 52 40 25    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 51 36 57         T O T A L S       15 10 59 40 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.99 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.75 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.15 (no red card)

Df Sam Wood: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.04 (no red card)

Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.91 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.96 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.05 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.48 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.38 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.47 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.66 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.55 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.08 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.04 (no red card)

Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.08 (no red card)

Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.09 (no red card)

Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.51 (no red card)

Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.99 (no red card)

Df Duško Kolomyets: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.73 (no red card)

Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.94 (no red card)

Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.94 (no red card)

Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 30.99 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.71 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) 
Df Sam Wood: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.41 (no injury) 
Df Edilberto Moreno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.97 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.52 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.87 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.88 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.96 (no injury) 
Fw Gabriel Fernandinho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.01 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.22 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.97 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.27 (no injury) 
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) 
Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury) 
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.63 (no injury) 
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.15 (no injury) 
Df Duško Kolomyets: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.65 (no injury) 
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.35 (no injury) 
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.91 (no injury) 
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13

     intRndPk = 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 16

     intRndPk = 7
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 7 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  51  36  57
  Carlisle United          15  10  59  40  25

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 0 (57 - 59)
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((36 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 6 ((51 - 25) / 5); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Edilberto Moreno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Sam Wood
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 93.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Jeff Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 46.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          15  10  59  40  25
  Chesterfield FC          18   0  51  36  57

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 51)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((40 - 36) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 1 ((59 - 57) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Jacek Frankowski
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Chesterfield FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Squeaked out a winner somehow...
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/17 - 12:17 AM
 
 
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