(H)
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Thomas Anderson 15 2 17 Gk Finlay Palmer 15 2 17 Sw Mitsuo Soma 12 2 14 Sw Clifton Compton 7 2 9 Df Mohammed Cherkaoui 13 1 14 Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13 Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13 Df Mamoru Morishima 10 1 11 Df Joei Ikedia 12 0 12 Mf Božo Rebic 10 2 12 Mf Tatsuo Itakura 13 1 14 Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9 Mf Jorge Perez 7 0 7 Mf Kyle Hughes 9 0 9 Fw Nenad Kovtun 13 2 15 Fw Curtis Carr 16 2 18 Fw Syam Arfaoui 13 2 15 Fw Rik Schipper 12 0 12 Fw Charles Sweeney 13 1 14 Fw Matty Barrett 14 0 14 Fw Hayden Kerr 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 14 38 30 44 ROSTER TOTALS 17 9 38 21 55 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 14 38 30 53 T O T A L S 17 9 38 21 55 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.72 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.17 (no red card) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.99 (no red card) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.04 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.38 (no second yellow) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.42 (no red card) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.02 (no red card) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.39 (no red card) Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.43 (no red card) Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.07 (no red card) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.43 (no red card) Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.12 (no red card) Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.61 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.86 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.52 (no red card) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.17 (no red card) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.86 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.14 (no red card) Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.65 (no red card) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.23 (no red card) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.73 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.2 (no second yellow) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.15 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.32 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.41 (no red card) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.84 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no red card) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.86 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.21 (no injury) Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.19 (no injury) Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.25 (no injury) Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.42 (no injury) Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.74 (no injury) Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.93 (no injury) Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.3 (no injury) Mf Kyle Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.09 (no injury) Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.54 (no injury) Fw Rik Schipper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.11 (no injury) Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 41.48 (no injury) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.7 (no injury) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.09 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.42 (no injury) Df Joei Ikedia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.7 (no injury) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.66 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.94 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.05 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.08 (no injury) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.2 (no injury) Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.65 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Curtis Carr SL 16 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15 intRndPk = 47 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Leonardo Marino SL 13 - Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 15 intRndPk = 22 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 22 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Oldham Athletic AFC 17 14 38 30 53 Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 38 21 55 Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 15 (53 - 38); result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 55) / 3; rounded up) Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Mf Agustin Duarte Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 53.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Božo Rebic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 3: Attack for Mf Kyle Hughes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Kyle Hughes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Božo Rebic Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 26.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Matty Barrett Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Rik Schipper Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 20: Attack for Fw Curtis Carr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 38 21 55 Oldham Athletic AFC 17 14 38 30 53 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 17 (55 - 38); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 53) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 17 1: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 39.64 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 98.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Hayden Kerr Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 2 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
Match Notes
Plymouth have a good track record against Oldham, but we're away, and there are Cup matches to be played. We might not have the firepower to compete here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/02 - 1:38 AM
SW Soma MoM for sure. It was a good match. We were underdogs for sure and the score line probably is justified.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/09 - 2:27 AM
The Japanese SW is indead playing very well this season. And we need him.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 03/09 - 4:26 PM