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Queens Park Rangers
James White
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

QUEENS PARK RANGERS                        SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Toby Barmby            16    2   18     Gk Alonso Lopez           13    2   15
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul         9    2   11     Df Manuel Ortiz           10    2   12
Df Hakim Aguerd           11    2   13     Df Eliecer Mojica          8    2   10
Df Kurt Mörner             7    2    9     Df Vincent Hamidou         7    1    8
Mf Dennis Lindsay         10    2   12     Df Mauricio López          3    2    5
Mf Darrell Sinclair        7    1    8     Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru           3    2    5     Mf Hywel Cross            11    2   13
Fw Chuck Kane             11    1   12     Mf Francis Bukari          6    1    7
Fw Nikica Butina           8    2   10     Df Zaccaria Caligiuri      1    2    3
Fw Raul Duarte             7    2    9     Fw Roman Radomski          7    2    9
Fw Jacques Mahamat         3    2    5     Fw Rónald Aguilera         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 11 22 25 36        ROSTER TOTALS      15  0 38 34 18    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 22 25 45         T O T A L S       16  0 45 34 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.59 (no red card)

Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.27 (no red card)

Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.11 (no red card)

Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.98 (no red card)

Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.98 (no red card)

Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.81 (no red card)

Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.34 (no red card)

Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.59 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.73 (no second yellow)

Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.3 (no red card)

Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.42 (no red card)

Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.76 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 76.09 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.11 (no red card)

Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 41.8 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.92 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.29 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.6 (no red card)

Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.64 (no red card)

Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.5 (no red card)

Df Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.21 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 18.07 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.06 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Toby Barmby: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 40.88 (no injury) 
Sw Ji-An Sang-chul: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.13 (no injury) 
Df Hakim Aguerd: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.39 (no injury) 
Df Kurt Mörner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.22 (no injury) 
Mf Dennis Lindsay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.71 (no injury) 
Mf Darrell Sinclair: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.71 (no injury) 
Mf Ogenyi Kabiru: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.49 (no injury) 
Fw Chuck Kane: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.17 (no injury) 
Fw Nikica Butina: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury) 
Fw Raul Duarte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.18 (no injury) 
Fw Jacques Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.18 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Queens Park Rangers Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 66.6 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.23 (no injury) 
Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.47 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.4 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.12 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.96 (no injury) 
Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.95 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.08 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Francis Bukari is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Francis Bukari new match skill level =  3
      Francis Bukari new match total level =  4
Df Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.44 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.83 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.32 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Rónald Aguilera is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Rónald Aguilera new match skill level =  4
      Rónald Aguilera new match total level =  6
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Hakim Aguerd SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Troy Juric SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Toby Barmby SL 16

     intRndPk = 68
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 68 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  QUEENS PARK RANGERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Queens Park Rangers      18  11  22  25  45
  Southend United          16   0  45  31  15

Southend United is using Offside Trap!
Queens Park Rangers Fw Attacks = 0 (45 - 45)
Queens Park Rangers Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Queens Park Rangers Df Attacks = 3 ((22 - 15) / 3); result rounded up
Queens Park Rangers Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Df Hakim Aguerd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 83.48 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Hakim Aguerd
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Kurt Mörner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Southend United
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          16   0  45  31  15
  Queens Park Rangers      18  11  22  25  45

Southend United is Playing For A Draw!
Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 22)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 25) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 45) / 5;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Hywel Cross
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
QUEENS PARK RANGERS 1  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Another unlucky match. The two APP injuries are worst part of this result though.
Colin (Southend United) 02/24 - 7:44 PM
 
 
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