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Lewes FC
Dave Dohm
 
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   CARLISLE UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          17    2   19     Gk Kuan-Yin Sun           15    2   17
Sw Felipe Rocha            9    2   11     Sw James Dunn              9    2   11
Df Charles Pearce         15    1   16     Df Mohamed Cherkaoui      15    2   17
Df Emilio Muñoz           13    2   15     Df Reece Hutchinson       12    2   14
Mf Jed Lindsay            16    2   18     Df Algenon Milner         10    2   12
Mf Rory McLean             9    2   11     Df Benjamin Bell           9    2   11
Fw Luca Milner            15    2   17     Mf Emile Bateman          14    2   16
Fw Agostino Barbieri      14    1   15     Mf Mohamed Durieux         9    2   11
Fw Jared Hubbard          13    2   15     Mf Edoardo Rinaldi         4    2    6
Fw Aarron Brudenell       16    1   17     Fw Harley Morrissey        9    2   11
Fw Alexander Clark         9    0    9     Fw Craig McDonald          4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 11 31 29 73        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 54 33 17    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  1  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19 11 31 29 82         T O T A L S       17 11 62 33 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.04 (no red card)

Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.69 (no red card)

Df Charles Pearce: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.5 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.16 (no red card)

Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 54.73 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.47 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.0 (no second yellow)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 44.43 (no red card)

Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.6 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.87 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 25.16 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.24 (no red card)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.35 (no second yellow)

Sw James Dunn: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 77.68 (no red card)

Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 55.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 13.51 (no red card)

Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 0.45 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.12% | Random number = 16.65 (no second yellow)

Df Algenon Milner: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 91.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 84.98 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 61.03 (no red card)

Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 49.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 14.25 (no red card)

Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 27.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 38.05 (no red card)

Mf Edoardo Rinaldi: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 53.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 5.89 (no red card)

Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 12.54 (no red card)

Fw Craig McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 99.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.12% | Random number = 48.89 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury) 
Sw Felipe Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 40.59 (no injury) 
Df Charles Pearce: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.76 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.38 (no injury) 
Mf Jed Lindsay: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.64 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.24 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.89 (no injury) 
Fw Agostino Barbieri: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.03 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.51 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.39 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 18.57 (no injury) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 1
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kuan-Yin Sun: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 63.32 (no injury) 
Sw James Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.07 (no injury) 
Df Mohamed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.05 (no injury) 
Df Reece Hutchinson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.56 (no injury) 
Df Algenon Milner: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.37 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.14 (no injury) 
Mf Emile Bateman: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 40.86 (no injury) 
Mf Mohamed Durieux: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.3 (no injury) 
Mf Edoardo Rinaldi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 38.98 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Morrissey: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.65 (no injury) 
Fw Craig McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.85 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jed Lindsay SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kuan-Yin Sun SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mohamed Cherkaoui SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

     intRndPk = 18
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 19  11  31  29  82
  Carlisle United          17  11  62  33  17

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 20 (82 - 62); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 5 ((31 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Emilio Muñoz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 81.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Charles Pearce
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 25.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 15.87 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 55.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlisle United          17  11  62  33  17
  Lewes FC                 19  11  31  29  82

Carlisle United is Playing For A Draw!
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 31)
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 1 ((33 - 29) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 82) / 3;  rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Mf Edoardo Rinaldi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 1  -  CARLISLE UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Never won here - will be tough to change that against the leaders.
Dave (Carlisle United) 01/05 - 1:53 AM
 
 
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