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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Billy Lampard          16    2   18     Gk Sean Crawford          16    1   17
Sw Taylor Graham          15    2   17     Sw Carl Olson             14    1   15
Df Tomaj Bodnár           16    1   17     Df Francisco Nieto        14    1   15
Df Andy Whiteside         10    2   12     Df Noah Nielsen           13    1   14
Df Jeffrey Giles           9    2   11     Df Ben Green               9   -1    8
Mf Ryan Lennon            12    2   14     Mf Patrick Torres         13    2   15
Mf Sean Hart              11    2   13     Mf Max Bird               16    2   18
Mf Thomas Farrell          9    2   11     Mf Derek Russell           9    2   11
Fw Abe Austin             19    1   20     Fw Kieran Lloyd           15    2   17
Fw Rory McLachlan         15    2   17     Fw Louie Rowbotham        14    0   14
Fw Brandon Murphy          9    1   10     Fw Lorenzo Maggioni        9   -1    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 17 40 38 47        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 37 44 39    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 17 40 38 56         T O T A L S       17 15 37 44 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.18 (no red card)

Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no red card)

Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.91 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.52 (no second yellow)

Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.99 (no red card)

Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.26 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.93 (no red card)

Mf Sean Hart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 75.44 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.32 (no red card)

Fw Abe Austin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.16 (no red card)

Fw Rory McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.63 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.48 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sean Crawford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.95 (no red card)

Sw Carl Olson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.38 (no red card)

Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.82 (no red card)

Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.35 (no red card)

Df Ben Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 80.47 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.97 (no red card)

Mf Max Bird: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.84 (no red card)

Mf Derek Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.41 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.46 (no second yellow)

Fw Kieran Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 58.03 (no red card)

Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.65 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Maggioni: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.38 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Billy Lampard: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 83.56 (no injury) 
Sw Taylor Graham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.71 (no injury) 
Df Tomaj Bodnár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.82 (no injury) 
Df Andy Whiteside: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no injury) 
Df Jeffrey Giles: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.52 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Lennon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.97 (no injury) 
Mf Sean Hart: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.09 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Farrell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.8 (no injury) 
Fw Abe Austin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.33 (no injury) 
Fw Rory McLachlan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.85 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.43 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sean Crawford: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.35 (no injury) 
Sw Carl Olson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.19 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.41 (no injury) 
Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.61 (no injury) 
Df Ben Green: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.44 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.16 (no injury) 
Mf Max Bird: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.7 (no injury) 
Mf Derek Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.69 (no injury) 
Fw Kieran Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.86 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.03 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Maggioni: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Abe Austin SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Sean Crawford SL 16

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Max Bird SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Billy Lampard SL 16

     intRndPk = 91
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          18  17  40  38  56
  Brentford FC             17  15  37  44  39

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 19 (56 - 37); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((38 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 39) / 3); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Tomaj Bodnár
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 34.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Brandon Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 48.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.87 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 36.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Brandon Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 42.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 40.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Brandon Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Rory McLachlan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Abe Austin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 27.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             17  15  37  44  39
  Lincoln City FC          18  17  40  38  56

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 40)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((44 - 38) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 56) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 1  -  BRENTFORD FC 0
 
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