(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DERBY COUNTY WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Fernando Pellistri 13 1 14 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 13 2 15 Sw Artur Boniek 12 1 13 Sw Saul Aquino 6 2 8 Df Alex Hassan 7 2 9 Df Felipe Pérez 10 2 12 Df Rodrigo de Corona 6 2 8 Df Victor Bach 6 2 8 Mf Peder Petersen 15 0 15 Df Walter McGree 3 2 5 Mf William Gomez 6 2 8 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 2 15 Fw Jay Mitchell 13 0 13 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Fw Reimundo Almada 11 1 12 Mf Eduardo Da silva 6 2 8 Fw Mohamed Torres 11 0 11 Mf Federico Machado 3 2 5 Fw Rogério Guimarães 10 0 10 Fw Matty Begum 14 2 16 Fw Yahia El mostafa 6 -1 5 Fw Valerio Paredes 3 2 5 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 13 17 23 51 ROSTER TOTALS 15 8 25 43 21 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 3 4 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 13 20 23 57 T O T A L S 15 11 30 43 21 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.94 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.5 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.79 (no red card) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.43 (no red card) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.03 (no red card) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.85 (no red card) Mf William Gomez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.32 (no red card) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.05 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.35 (no second yellow) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.4 (no red card) Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card) Fw Rogério Guimarães: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.38 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.15 (no red card) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.63 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 29.73 (no red card) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.13 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card) Df Walter McGree: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 72.45 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.53 (no red card) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.19 (no red card) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.53 (no red card) Mf Federico Machado: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.78 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.84 (no red card) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.3 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Fernando Pellistri: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 37.88 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.51 (no injury) Df Alex Hassan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.4 (no injury) Df Rodrigo de Corona: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.28 (no injury) Mf Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 60.49 (no injury) Mf William Gomez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.57 (no injury) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.39 (no injury) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.65 (no injury) Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 77.35 (no injury) Fw Rogério Guimarães: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.44 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 56.78 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 1 - Derby County Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 28.22 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.19 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Felipe Pérez is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Felipe Pérez new match skill level = 5 Felipe Pérez new match total level = 7 Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.0 (no injury) Df Walter McGree: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.93 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.78 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 66.19 (no injury) Mf Eduardo Da silva: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.58 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Eduardo Da silva is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Mf Federico Machado: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 44.72 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.04 (no injury) Fw Valerio Paredes: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.18 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 15 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 13 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Fernando Pellistri SL 13 intRndPk = 80 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 14 13 20 23 57 Watford 15 11 25 43 21 Derby County Fw Attacks = 32 (57 - 25); result rounded up Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 43) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((20 - 21) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 32 1: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 90.61 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 83.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 24.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 30.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 26: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 91.44 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 27: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 58.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 72.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 30: Attack for Fw Rogério Guimarães Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 32: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 94.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 15 11 25 43 21 Derby County 14 13 20 23 57 Watford is Playing For A Draw! Watford Fw Attacks = 1 (21 - 20) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 5 ((43 - 23) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 6 1: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 51.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DERBY COUNTY 4 - WATFORD 0