Session 10 Coaches Poll deadline in 4 hours and 59 minutes
If your team was NMR this season please see the rules for NMR forgiveness (Section 14) and email the commish instructions BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
If an age V or higher player would retire at end of season you can convert him to an age I BRB BEFORE the session 10 deadline...
Compo is a kind soul and wants to remind you to use ALL REMAINING GPP this session. They do not carry over...
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Thursday, March 28th, 2024 - 01:00:07 PM (gmt)
 
ball MSWL UNITED ① Season 47 // Landing
 
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Port Vale FC
John Holden
 
Swindon Town FC
Matt White
 
 
League Round 4
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PORT VALE FC                               SWINDON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hyun Tae-yong          12    2   14     Gk Bo Norlén               2    2    4
Sw Fokke Taylor            3    1    4     Df Tal Avraham            10    0   10
Df Zak Smalls             13    0   13     Df Abdel Bejaoui           8    0    8
Df Sion Bowen             11    0   11     Df Martin Toivonen         6    2    8
Df Boško Shpak             6    2    8     Mf Brecht De wit          10    0   10
Mf Danny Cole             13    0   13     Mf Rhys Bishop             7    0    7
Mf Hélder Carvalho         6    2    8     Mf Etienne Willems         6    2    8
Fw Filipe Alves           13   -2   11     Mf Cameron Gates           2    2    4
Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi      12    0   12     Fw Lennon Smith           10    0   10
Fw Andres Gutierrez       11    1   12     Fw Ricardo Cabanas         8    0    8
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi    6    2    8     Fw Bartosz Frankowski      5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14  4 32 21 43        ROSTER TOTALS       4  0 26 29 25    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  4 32 21 52         T O T A L S        4  0 26 29 25    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PORT VALE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 57.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 42.81 (no red card)

Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.15 (no red card)

Df Zak Smalls: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.77 (no red card)

Df Sion Bowen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 7.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.96 (no red card)

Df Boško Shpak: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 2.33 (no red card)

Mf Danny Cole: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.16 (no red card)

Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.96 (no red card)

Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.53 (no red card)

Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.77 (no red card)

Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.64 (no red card)

Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.85 (no red card)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card)

Df Tal Avraham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.95 (no red card)

Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.41 (no red card)

Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.47 (no red card)

Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no red card)

Mf Rhys Bishop: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.08 (no red card)

Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.02 (no red card)

Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.74 (no red card)

Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.35 (no red card)

Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.54 (no red card)

Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.83 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Hyun Tae-yong: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 41.25 (no injury) 
Sw Fokke Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.03 (no injury) 
Df Zak Smalls: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 45.12 (no injury) 
Df Sion Bowen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 7.41 (no injury) 
Df Boško Shpak: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 84.83 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Cole: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.28 (no injury) 
Mf Hélder Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.11 (no injury) 
Fw Filipe Alves: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.43 (no injury) 
Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury) 
Fw Andres Gutierrez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.95 (no injury) 
Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.6 (no injury) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Swindon Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Port Vale FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bo Norlén: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 92.36 (no injury) 
Df Tal Avraham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.39 (no injury) 
Df Abdel Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.83 (no injury) 
Df Martin Toivonen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.1 (no injury) 
Mf Brecht De wit: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.79 (no injury) 
Mf Rhys Bishop: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.66 (no injury) 
Mf Etienne Willems: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.74 (no injury) 
Mf Cameron Gates: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 49.37 (no injury) 
Fw Lennon Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.4 (no injury) 
Fw Ricardo Cabanas: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.44 (no injury) 
Fw Bartosz Frankowski: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.36 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Zak Smalls SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Bo Norlén SL 2

     intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  PORT VALE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Tal Avraham SL 10
   - Defending Gk: Hyun Tae-yong SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PORT VALE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Port Vale FC             15   4  32  21  52
  Swindon Town FC          4   0  26  29  25

Port Vale FC Fw Attacks = 26 (52 - 26); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 29) / 2;  rounded up)
Port Vale FC Df Attacks = 3 ((32 - 25) / 3); result rounded up
Port Vale FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Df Boško Shpak
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 91.46 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Sion Bowen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 62.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Zak Smalls
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 48.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 83.3 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 50.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 1.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 14.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 72.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 95.14 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 98.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Kamal El-Jaouachi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 44 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 8.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 99.03 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
26: Attack for Fw Abdeljalil El Ahmadi
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 58 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
28: Attack for Fw Andres Gutierrez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 49.0% | Random number = 83.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
29: Attack for Fw Filipe Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Swindon Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 58 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SWINDON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Swindon Town FC          4   0  26  29  25
  Port Vale FC             15   4  32  21  52

Swindon Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (25 - 32)
Swindon Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((29 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Swindon Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 52) / 5;  rounded up)
Swindon Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 67.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Etienne Willems
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Brecht De wit
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 38% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PORT VALE FC 9  -  SWINDON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Swindon's goalkeeper couldn't stop much today
John (Port Vale FC) 02/11 - 8:05 PM
 
 
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