(H)
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
Oldham Athletic AFC
Pierre van Rossum
League Round 4
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Finlay Palmer 14 1 15 Gk Thomas Anderson 13 0 13
Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13 Sw Mitsuo Soma 11 1 12
Df Bassirou Mbaye 12 0 12 Df Mohammed Cherkaoui 13 0 13
Df Nestor Omlin 6 2 8 Df Gabriel Correia 13 0 13
Mf Daniel Kelly 13 0 13 Df Mamoru Morishima 10 -2 8
Mf Dominic Robinson 12 0 12 Mf Božo Rebic 10 -1 9
Mf Tatsuo Itakura 10 0 10 Mf Agustin Duarte 9 0 9
Mf Ilija Mandzukic 9 0 9 Mf Kristijan Karacic 6 2 8
Mf Jorge Perez 6 2 8 Fw Curtis Carr 13 0 13
Fw Syam Arfaoui 12 0 12 Fw Matty Barrett 14 0 14
Fw Hayden Kerr 9 2 11 Fw Wladimir Groen 3 2 5
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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15 0 33 52 23 ROSTER TOTALS 13 12 34 26 32
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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15 0 33 61 23 T O T A L S 13 12 34 26 32
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.93 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.17 (no red card)
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.72 (no red card)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.93 (no red card)
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card)
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.36 (no red card)
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.47 (no red card)
Mf Ilija Mandzukic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.29 (no red card)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.89 (no red card)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.79 (no red card)
Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.95 (no red card)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 16.61 (no red card)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.05 (no red card)
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.43 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.19 (no red card)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.98 (no red card)
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.29 (no red card)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.84 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.5 (no red card)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.56 (no red card)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.36 (no red card)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.99 (no red card)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.62 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 3.51 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.99 (no injury)
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.0 (no injury)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.75 (no injury)
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.18 (no injury)
Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.08 (no injury)
Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.35 (no injury)
Mf Ilija Mandzukic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.85 (no injury)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.45 (no injury)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.2 (no injury)
Fw Hayden Kerr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.71 (no injury)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Oldham Athletic AFC Team Hardness = 0
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Thomas Anderson: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 53.59 (no injury)
Sw Mitsuo Soma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.98 (no injury)
Df Mohammed Cherkaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.36 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Correia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.72 (no injury)
Df Mamoru Morishima: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.75 (no injury)
Mf Božo Rebic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.07 (no injury)
Mf Agustin Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.21 (no injury)
Mf Kristijan Karacic: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no injury)
Fw Curtis Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.55 (no injury)
Fw Matty Barrett: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.63 (no injury)
Fw Wladimir Groen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.19 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Leonardo Marino SL 13
- Defending Gk: Thomas Anderson SL 13
intRndPk = 100
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Matty Barrett SL 14
- Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 14
intRndPk = 3
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 3 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 31 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 15 0 33 61 23
Oldham Athletic AFC 13 12 34 26 32
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 34)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((61 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 1 ((33 - 32) / 5); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 31.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Ilija Mandzukic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.06 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 42.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 71.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
12: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Mf Jorge Perez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 1.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 73.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Mf Daniel Kelly
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 56.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Mf Ilija Mandzukic
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
******* OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Oldham Athletic AFC 13 12 34 26 32
Plymouth Argyle FC 15 0 33 61 23
Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Oldham Athletic AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 33)
Oldham Athletic AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 61) / 2; rounded up)
Oldham Athletic AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((34 - 23) / 3); result rounded up
Oldham Athletic AFC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Df Mamoru Morishima
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Df Mohammed Cherkaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Df Mohammed Cherkaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 12.55 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Df Gabriel Correia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 19.5 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 2 - OLDHAM ATHLETIC AFC 1
Match Notes
Argyle is the favorite, looking at the history. It´s a game between the 2nd and 3rd place in the league (After 1 game, I know).
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/10 - 2:36 PM
Don't worry Pierre, after all these years, I still have no clue what I'm doing lol
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/10 - 4:49 PM
Phew! Thankfully that totally bogus and uncalled for PK didn't hurt us.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/11 - 4:45 PM
Looking at the shots it is a fair victory of Plymouth.
Pierre (Oldham Athletic AFC) 02/16 - 6:37 AM