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Lewes FC
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S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LEWES FC                                   BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Eduardo Parra          17    2   19     Gk Tom Lang               16    1   17
Df Ethan Barry            15    2   17     Sw Lewis Fortune-West     14    0   14
Df Felipe Rocha            2    2    4     Df Guillaume Mallet        8    2   10
Df Emilio Muñoz            8    2   10     Df Noah Nielsen            4    2    6
Df Ian Richards            6    2    8     Df Francisco Nieto         4    2    6
Mf Luís Alves              7    1    8     Mf Matty Gerrard           9    2   11
Mf Rory McLean             4    2    6     Mf Patrick Torres          9    0    9
Fw Aarron Brudenell       17    2   19     Mf Matthieu Cottin         4    2    6
Fw Luca Milner             8   -2    6     Fw Ashton Matthews        20    2   22
Fw Jared Hubbard           8    2   10     Fw Nathan Rivet            9    2   11
Fw Alexander Clark         4    2    6     Fw Louie Rowbotham         4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 39 14 41        ROSTER TOTALS      17 14 22 26 39    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  5  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      24  0 39 14 41         T O T A L S       22 14 22 26 39    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LEWES FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.14 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.84 (no second yellow)

Df Ethan Barry: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 4.12 (no red card)

Df Felipe Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 81.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 94.78 (no red card)

Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 0.06 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.04 (no second yellow)

Df Ian Richards: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 4.87 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 41.29 (no second yellow)

Mf Luís Alves: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 51.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 12.13 (no red card)

Mf Rory McLean: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 38.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 89.22 (no red card)

Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 65.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 42.12 (no red card)

Fw Luca Milner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 22.37 (no red card)

Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 51.78 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 21.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tom Lang: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.96 (no red card)

Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 24.19 (no red card)

Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 98.18 (no red card)

Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 48.21 (no red card)

Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.89 (no red card)

Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 95.73 (no red card)

Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.4 (no red card)

Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.23 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.08 (no second yellow)

Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.9 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.26 (no red card)

Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LEWES FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Eduardo Parra: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 50.36 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Barry: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.24 (no injury) 
Df Felipe Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 67.83 (no injury) 
Df Emilio Muñoz: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 12.12 (no injury) 
Df Ian Richards: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 76.45 (no injury) 
Mf Luís Alves: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 7.8 (no injury) 
Mf Rory McLean: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.28 (no injury) 
Fw Aarron Brudenell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.37 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Milner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.1 (no injury) 
Fw Jared Hubbard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 30.54 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Clark: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 2.96 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Alexander Clark is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Alexander Clark new match skill level =  2
      Alexander Clark new match total level =  4

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lewes FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Tom Lang: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 21.36 (no injury) 
Sw Lewis Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 50.49 (no injury) 
Df Guillaume Mallet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.63 (no injury) 
Df Noah Nielsen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.85 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Nieto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.05 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Gerrard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 55.95 (no injury) 
Mf Patrick Torres: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.86 (no injury) 
Mf Matthieu Cottin: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.72 (no injury) 
Fw Ashton Matthews: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 51.21 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Rivet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 34.57 (no injury) 
Fw Louie Rowbotham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 89.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Aarron Brudenell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Tom Lang SL 16

     intRndPk = 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 16 (no penalty kick)

*******  LEWES FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ashton Matthews SL 20
   - Defending Gk: Eduardo Parra SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LEWES FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lewes FC                 24   0  39  14  39
  Brentford FC             22  14  22  26  39

Lewes FC Fw Attacks = 17 (39 - 22); result rounded up
Lewes FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((14 - 26) / 2;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Lewes FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 39.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 5.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 6.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 78.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Clark
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Luca Milner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jared Hubbard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Aarron Brudenell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             22  14  22  26  39
  Lewes FC                 24   0  39  14  39

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 0 (39 - 39)
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((26 - 14) / 2) ; result rounded up
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((22 - 39) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 10.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 95.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Matthieu Cottin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 78.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 0.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Matty Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 81.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Patrick Torres
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Lewes FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 94.0% | Random number = 27.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LEWES FC 0  -  BRENTFORD FC 1
 
Match Notes
Extra security on hand for this one!
Mike (Lincoln City FC) 09/22 - 2:23 PM
With the injury we have I don't think we'll be able to do anything to make this a competitive match. Prediction: LEW 5, BRE 0.
Allan (Brentford FC) 09/22 - 4:55 PM
We knew we had no chance! Bring on next season....this has been a disaster.
Dave (Lewes FC) 09/22 - 6:47 PM
Well done to Al. Bringing down the evil empire!
Ian (Preston North End FC) 09/22 - 7:30 PM
 
 
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