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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
Youth Cup Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Finlay Palmer          15    2   17     Gk Alonso Lopez           14    2   16
Sw Bryn Gough              8    2   10     Sw Jordan Bukari           4    2    6
Df Bassirou Mbaye         13    2   15     Df Kenzie Fraser          13    2   15
Df Nestor Omlin            8    0    8     Df Vincent Hamidou         7    2    9
Df Mohamadou Sy            4    2    6     Df Mauricio López          4    2    6
Mf Jorge Perez             7    0    7     Df Ramon Sarabia           2    2    4
Mf Oscar Bremer            4    2    6     Mf Claes Östberg          14    2   16
Mf Antoine Guendouzi       2    2    4     Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri      4    2    6
Fw Luis Calvo             16    0   16     Fw Roman Radomski          7    2    9
Fw Si-Won Min-woo          8    0    8     Fw Rónald Aguilera         7    2    9
Fw Evaristo Masis          4    2    6     Fw Jamie Behich            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 10 29 17 30        ROSTER TOTALS      16  6 34 22 24    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 10 29 17 30         T O T A L S       19  6 34 22 24    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.25 (no red card)

Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.88 (no red card)

Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)

Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.81 (no red card)

Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.66 (no red card)

Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.01 (no red card)

Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.39 (no red card)

Mf Antoine Guendouzi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.66 (no red card)

Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.61 (no red card)

Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.04 (no red card)

Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.81 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 80.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 18.67 (no red card)

Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 24.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 33.97 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.46 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.3 (no red card)

Df Mauricio López: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.14 (no red card)

Df Ramon Sarabia: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.82 (no red card)

Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.17 (no red card)

Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.29 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.46 (no red card)

Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.72 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.19 (no second yellow)

Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 84.82 (no injury) 
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.07 (no injury) 
Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.68 (no injury) 
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.5 (no injury) 
Df Mohamadou Sy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.18 (no injury) 
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.9 (no injury) 
Mf Oscar Bremer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.69 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Oscar Bremer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Oscar Bremer new match skill level =  2
      Oscar Bremer new match total level =  4
Mf Antoine Guendouzi: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.59 (no injury) 
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.87 (no injury) 
Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.47 (no injury) 
Fw Evaristo Masis: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.65 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 32.89 (no injury) 
Sw Jordan Bukari: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.84 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.77 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 80.38 (no injury) 
Df Mauricio López: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.37 (no injury) 
Df Ramon Sarabia: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.67 (no injury) 
Mf Claes Östberg: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.62 (no injury) 
Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.23 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.41 (no injury) 
Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 85.2 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Behich: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.05 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Claes Östberg SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  10  29  15  30
  Southend United          19   6  34  22  24

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 34)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((15 - 22) / 2;  rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 2 ((29 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Df Bassirou Mbaye
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 68.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          19   6  34  22  24
  Plymouth Argyle FC       17  10  29  15  30

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 29)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 4 ((22 - 15) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 2 ((34 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Southend United Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Mauricio López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Vincent Hamidou
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 65.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Claes Östberg
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Zaccaria Caligiuri
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     E N D   O F   R E G U L A T I O N  
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
===============================================
===============================================
  P E N A L T Y    K I C K    S H O O T O U T  
===============================================
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Gk (Home): Finlay Palmer SL 15

   - Southend United Gk (Away): Alonso Lopez SL 14

************   ROUND 1    ************
 Round 1: Luis Calvo (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 86% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 1  :  SU - 0)

 Round 1: Alonso Lopez (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 69 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 1  :  SU - 1)

************   ROUND 2    ************
 Round 2: Finlay Palmer (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 66 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 2  :  SU - 1)

 Round 2: Claes Östberg (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 82 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PLY - 2  :  SU - 1)

************   ROUND 3    ************
 Round 3: Bassirou Mbaye (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 74% | Random number = 80 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PLY - 2  :  SU - 1)

 Round 3: Kenzie Fraser (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 72% | Random number = 72 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 2  :  SU - 2)

************   ROUND 4    ************
 Round 4: Bryn Gough (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 30 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 3  :  SU - 2)

 Round 4: Vincent Hamidou (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 3  :  SU - 3)

************   ROUND 5    ************
 Round 5: Nestor Omlin (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 35 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 4  :  SU - 3)

 Round 5: Roman Radomski (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 17 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 4  :  SU - 4)

************   ROUND 6    ************
 Round 6: Si-Won Min-woo (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 54% | Random number = 44 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 5  :  SU - 4)

 Round 6: Rónald Aguilera (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 48% | Random number = 28 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 5  :  SU - 5)

************   ROUND 7    ************
 Round 7: Jorge Perez (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 50% | Random number = 51 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PLY - 5  :  SU - 5)

 Round 7: Jordan Bukari (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 36% | Random number = 37 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PLY - 5  :  SU - 5)

************   ROUND 8    ************
 Round 8: Mohamadou Sy (PLY) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 38% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) (PLY - 6  :  SU - 5)

 Round 8: Mauricio López (SU) steps to the spot...
   Chance of scoring = 36% | Random number = 56 (PK BLOCKED!!) (PLY - 6  :  SU - 5)

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
===============================================
     P K    S H O O T O U T
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 6  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 5
 
Match Notes
LET'S GET READDDDYYYYY TOOOO RUMMMMMBBBBLLLLLEEEEE!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/02 - 1:44 AM
Boy do I love the Youth Cup... bring it on!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/02 - 1:44 AM
Disappointed but that’s the luck of the shootout. Good luck Rob.
Colin (Southend United) 03/02 - 9:14 PM
Well played Colin. PKs can go either way, especially in the youth cup.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/09 - 2:33 AM
 
 
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