(H)
Watford
James Tucker
Wycombe Wanderers
Aires Martins Jr.
FA Cup Quarterfinals
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WATFORD WYCOMBE WANDERERS Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Sebastian Ruiz 12 2 14 Gk Tim Neuville 12 0 12 Sw Luca Werner 10 2 12 Sw Santiago Ramos 7 1 8 Df Alain Fauché 13 1 14 Df Francesco Montella 14 -1 13 Df Evan Symes 13 0 13 Df Kaies Mhedhebi 9 2 11 Mf Hirving Borgetti 13 2 15 Df Hans Larsson 7 2 9 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Mf Stephan Schär 11 0 11 Fw Matty Begum 15 2 17 Mf Sebastian Watts 9 0 9 Fw Julien De Boeck 13 2 15 Fw Ricardo Sousa 14 0 14 Fw Samuel Bidault 12 2 14 Fw Mathieu Song 12 0 12 Fw Kai McDonald 10 2 12 Fw Krunoslav Modric 14 0 14 Fw Edgar Jimenez 7 2 9 Fw David Avril 9 1 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 12 27 30 67 ROSTER TOTALS 12 8 33 20 50 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 12 36 30 67 T O T A L S 12 8 33 20 50 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.0 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no red card) Sw Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.87 (no red card) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.42 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.74 (no second yellow) Df Evan Symes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.56 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.55 (no red card) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.68 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.44 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.83 (no red card) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.98 (no red card) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.81 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.06 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.5 (no red card) ******* WYCOMBE WANDERERS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Tim Neuville: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.31 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.28 (no red card) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.54 (no red card) Df Francesco Montella: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.09 (no red card) Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.32 (no red card) Df Hans Larsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.48 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.56 (no second yellow) Mf Stephan Schär: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.83 (no red card) Mf Sebastian Watts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.85 (no red card) Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.67 (no red card) Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.35 (no red card) Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.63 (no red card) Fw David Avril: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.72 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Sebastian Ruiz: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 0.62 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Sebastian Ruiz is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Sebastian Ruiz new match skill level = 6 Sebastian Ruiz new match total level = 8 Sw Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 30.95 (no injury) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.67 (no injury) Df Evan Symes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.79 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.62 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.5 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no injury) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.09 (no injury) Fw Samuel Bidault: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.65 (no injury) Fw Kai McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.67 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.65 (no injury) ******* WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Wycombe Wanderers Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Tim Neuville: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 45.12 (no injury) Sw Santiago Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.66 (no injury) Df Francesco Montella: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.97 (no injury) Df Kaies Mhedhebi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 32.13 (no injury) Df Hans Larsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.88 (no injury) Mf Stephan Schär: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.46 (no injury) Mf Sebastian Watts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.42 (no injury) Fw Ricardo Sousa: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.38 (no injury) Fw Mathieu Song: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.41 (no injury) Fw Krunoslav Modric: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no injury) Fw David Avril: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.45 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WYCOMBE WANDERERS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Oribe Arellano SL 15 - Defending Gk: Tim Neuville SL 12 intRndPk = 23 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Francesco Montella SL 14 - Defending Gk: Sebastian Ruiz SL 6 intRndPk = 33 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 11 12 36 30 67 Wycombe Wanderers 12 8 33 20 50 Watford Fw Attacks = 34 (67 - 33); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 5 ((30 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 39 1: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.39 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Oribe Arellano Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 73.83 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 14: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 64.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 82.89 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 26: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 70.98 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 28: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 47.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 33: Attack for Fw Kai McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 35: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 36: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 37: Attack for Fw Samuel Bidault Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 38: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 39: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WYCOMBE WANDERERS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Wycombe Wanderers 12 8 33 20 50 Watford 11 12 36 30 67 Wycombe Wanderers Fw Attacks = 14 (50 - 36); result rounded up Wycombe Wanderers Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Wycombe Wanderers Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 67) / 3; rounded up) Wycombe Wanderers Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 75.11 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 2: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 36.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 22.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Mathieu Song Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Fw David Avril Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 29.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Ricardo Sousa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw David Avril Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw David Avril Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Krunoslav Modric Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 9.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WATFORD 6 - WYCOMBE WANDERERS 2