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Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
 
Watford
James Tucker
 
 
AP Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC                         WATFORD

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Nigel Brides           16    2   18     Gk Ollie Baker            16    2   18
Df Ben Kahn               13   -1   12     Sw John MacDonald         13    2   15
Df Matthew Hardy          12    0   12     Df Peter Burns            13    1   14
Df Henry Baker            12    0   12     Df Nils Johansson         11    0   11
Df Rory Smith              9    1   10     Df Rókus Szoke             9    1   10
Mf Ryan Wright            13    0   13     Df Stewart Tufnel          6    2    8
Mf Mark Jankel            12    0   12     Mf Matty Williams         15    0   15
Mf Abe Blazel             11    2   13     Mf Wes Barmby             10    2   12
Mf Simon Schmidt          11    2   13     Fw Thomas Fergusen        13    2   15
Fw John Wilson            13    0   13     Fw Fionn Quinn            10    2   12
Fw Jakob Halvorsen        12    2   14     Fw Gregory Edwards         8    0    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18  0 46 51 27        ROSTER TOTALS      18 15 43 27 35    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18  0 46 60 27         T O T A L S       21 15 43 27 35    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 1.51 (no red card)

Df Ben Kahn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.48 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.46 (no second yellow)

Df Matthew Hardy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.33 (no red card)

Df Henry Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.85 (no red card)

Df Rory Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 30.01 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card)

Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 69.64 (no red card)

Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.67 (no red card)

Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 71.64 (no red card)

Fw John Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.7 (no second yellow)

Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.2 (no red card)

*******  WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.35 (no red card)

Sw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 73.72 (no red card)

Df Peter Burns: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.98 (no red card)

Df Nils Johansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.71 (no red card)

Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 42.25 (no red card)

Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 31.12 (no red card)

Mf Matty Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.83 (no red card)

Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 20.24 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 81.29 (no red card)

Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 2.9 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.34 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Nigel Brides: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 47.67 (no injury) 
Df Ben Kahn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.23 (no injury) 
Df Matthew Hardy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.12 (no injury) 
Df Henry Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.83 (no injury) 
Df Rory Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.14 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Wright: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.67 (no injury) 
Mf Mark Jankel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.37 (no injury) 
Mf Abe Blazel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.6 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.04 (no injury) 
Fw John Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) 
Fw Jakob Halvorsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.79 (no injury) 

*******  WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Watford Team Hardness = 0
   - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Ollie Baker: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 26.05 (no injury) 
Sw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no injury) 
Df Peter Burns: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.48 (no injury) 
Df Nils Johansson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.94 (no injury) 
Df Rókus Szoke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury) 
Df Stewart Tufnel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.24 (no injury) 
Mf Matty Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.89 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Barmby: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.39 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Fergusen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.4 (no injury) 
Fw Fionn Quinn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.13 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.55 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ben Kahn SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Ollie Baker SL 16

     intRndPk = 65
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matty Williams SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Nigel Brides SL 16

     intRndPk = 37
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 37 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  46  60  27
  Watford                  21  15  43  27  35

Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 43)
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 17 ((60 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 3 ((46 - 35) / 5); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Df Henry Baker
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 44.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Matthew Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Matthew Hardy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 99.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Mark Jankel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 53.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Mf Ryan Wright
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 17.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Mf Abe Blazel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Mf Simon Schmidt
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Watford                  21  15  43  27  35
  Plymouth Argyle FC       18   0  46  60  27

Plymouth Argyle FC is using Offside Trap!
Watford Fw Attacks = 0 (35 - 46)
Watford Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 60) / 2;  rounded up)
Watford Df Attacks = 6 ((43 - 27) / 3); result rounded up
Watford Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Nils Johansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Nils Johansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Rókus Szoke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Df Nils Johansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Df Peter Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Plymouth Argyle FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1  -  WATFORD 0
 
Match Notes
Plymouth love shiny trophies, but I'm not sure we have enough to make it through at least 1 league win, and both FA and AP Cups...
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 08/24 - 2:25 PM
Scraped by - but a win's a win, and we're moving on to the next round!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 08/25 - 7:08 PM
 
 
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