(H)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Coventry City
Non League II
FA Cup Round 1 Replay
Create NMR Lineup S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S SOUTHEND UNITED COVENTRY CITY Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Alonso Lopez 11 2 13 Gk Kieran Webb 11 0 11 Sw Glen Clarke 13 1 14 Sw Ali Isaac 10 0 10 Df Manuel Ortiz 10 1 11 Df Roberto Mora 9 -1 8 Df Archie Rowe 13 1 14 Df Frank Ostrander 8 -1 7 Df Vincent Hamidou 5 2 7 Df Lincoln Powell 7 -1 6 Mf Troy Juric 12 1 13 Df Samuel Alnoudji 7 2 9 Mf Hywel Cross 11 1 12 Df Roberto Sanchez 6 2 8 Fw Kenzie McDonald 13 1 14 Mf Ramiro Murillo 13 -1 12 Fw Harry Brudenell 9 1 10 Mf Martin Gil 11 -1 10 Fw Callum Brudenell 7 1 8 Fw Conor Farrell 11 -1 10 Fw Rónald Aguilera 5 2 7 Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko 10 -1 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 14 32 25 39 ROSTER TOTALS 11 10 38 22 19 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 16 14 32 25 48 T O T A L S 12 11 39 24 20 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 68.75 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 39.39 (no red card) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.68 (no red card) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 16.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 95.35 (no red card) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 37.89 (no red card) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.24 (no red card) Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 96.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 74.82 (no red card) Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 71.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.39 (no red card) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.51 (no red card) Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.29 (no red card) Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.4 (no red card) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.97 (no red card) ******* COVENTRY CITY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Kieran Webb: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.21 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.04 (no red card) Sw Ali Isaac: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 2.21 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 87.16 (no second yellow) Df Roberto Mora: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 28.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 63.91 (no red card) Df Frank Ostrander: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 85.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 93.93 (no red card) Df Lincoln Powell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 13.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 5.04 (no red card) Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 62.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 12.83 (no red card) Df Roberto Sanchez: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 66.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 85.27 (no red card) Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 63.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 67.08 (no red card) Mf Martin Gil: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 17.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 72.51 (no red card) Fw Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 32.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 35.03 (no red card) Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 35.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 41.48 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - Coventry City Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.25% - Gk chance of injury = 3.62% Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 3.62% | Random number = 57.14 (no injury) Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 76.81 (no injury) Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 28.04 (no injury) Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 46.32 (no injury) Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 3.25 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Vincent Hamidou is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Vincent Hamidou new match skill level = 3 Vincent Hamidou new match total level = 5 Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 24.04 (no injury) Mf Hywel Cross: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 13.68 (no injury) Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 68.67 (no injury) Fw Harry Brudenell: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 3.21 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Harry Brudenell is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Harry Brudenell new match skill level = 5 Harry Brudenell new match total level = 6 Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 59.9 (no injury) Fw Rónald Aguilera: Chance of injury = 7.25% | Random number = 87.06 (no injury) ******* COVENTRY CITY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Coventry City Team Hardness = 6 - Southend United Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Kieran Webb: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 65.16 (no injury) Sw Ali Isaac: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.88 (no injury) Df Roberto Mora: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.4 (no injury) Df Frank Ostrander: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury) Df Lincoln Powell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 47.94 (no injury) Df Samuel Alnoudji: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 19.41 (no injury) Df Roberto Sanchez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 48.24 (no injury) Mf Ramiro Murillo: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) Mf Martin Gil: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 26.4 (no injury) Fw Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 38.93 (no injury) Fw Oleksiy Shevchenko: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 77.62 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* COVENTRY CITY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Archie Rowe SL 13 - Defending Gk: Kieran Webb SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 38 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick) ******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Ramiro Murillo SL 13 - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Southend United 16 14 30 25 44 Coventry City 12 11 39 24 20 Southend United Fw Attacks = 5 (44 - 39); result rounded up Southend United Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up Southend United Df Attacks = 4 ((30 - 20) / 3); result rounded up Southend United Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Manuel Ortiz Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 56.39 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df Archie Rowe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 88.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 4: Attack for Df Archie Rowe Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 26.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Mf Hywel Cross Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Harry Brudenell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) ******* COVENTRY CITY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Coventry City 12 11 39 24 20 Southend United 16 14 30 25 44 Coventry City Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 30) Coventry City Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 25) / 2; rounded up) Coventry City Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 44) / 3; rounded up) Coventry City Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E SOUTHEND UNITED 1 - COVENTRY CITY 0
Match Notes
Some confidence in the home team from the tipsters. Under pressure here.
Colin (Southend United) 02/03 - 3:07 AM